TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13099754
Played Sep 8Finished
Tomas Krcil
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
511119911118411
David Hons
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingTomas Krcil above · David Hons below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 4-11
Point 90 set 5, 4-11
90 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Krcil 3–6 David Hons Tomas Krcil has won 3 of their 9 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Krcil beat Hons 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Hons)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hons form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrcil 1.83 / Hons 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Hons)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13099754
Krcil1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Hons1.83
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeKrcil3wins
AwayHons6wins
2 of 9 to a deciderHons leads 6–3, and 2 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKrciln = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayHons75%6 of 8
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Krcil1Hons8n = 9Hons took 8 of 9
S2Krcil2Hons7n = 9Hons took 7 of 9
S3Krcil4Hons5n = 9Hons took 5 of 9
S4Krcil2Hons3n = 5Hons took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home111%
3–2Decider, home222%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away222%
0–3Straight, away444%
These 9 meetings
MetricKrcilHonsK − HBasisWins36−3in 9 meetingsFirst set18−7of 9Avg pointsper match33.838.7−4.9per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrcilHonsBasisWin rate · lifetime140 / 270 vs 232 / 47351.9%49.1%140 / 270 vs 232 / 473Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.536.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HonsKrcil 1.83/Hons 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Hons · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Hons won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WSep 8 · 16:35T. Krcil—461111113D. Hons—11118842
LAug 24 · 21:03T. Krcil—8990D. Hons—1111113
WAug 24 · 18:35T. Krcil—51112113D. Hons—1161021
LJun 17 · 18:05T. Krcil—9180D. Hons—1111113
LJun 16 · 21:35T. Krcil—6101181D. Hons—11127113
LJun 16 · 20:05T. Krcil—14101171D. Hons—16126113
LFeb 23 · 17:35T. Krcil—510130D. Hons—1112153
WFeb 2 · 22:50T. Krcil—141276123D. Hons—12101111102
LFeb 2 · 20:35T. Krcil—8680D. Hons—1111113
T. Krcil10
WSep 8 · 16:35D. Hons1.7311118842T. Krcil2.00461111113LSep 8 · 15:35T. Krcil2.63611521R. Fitl1.4411611113LSep 8 · 14:05R. Vosyka1.50111188113T. Krcil2.5089111182WSep 7 · 21:15J. Hajek2.1091080T. Krcil1.671112113LSep 7 · 20:05J. Martin1.671141110113T. Krcil2.1001171262LSep 7 · 19:35M. Rojka2.201114113T. Krcil1.6161280LSep 7 · 18:35T. Krcil1.50191181J. Hajek2.5011117113WSep 2 · 21:50T. Krcil1.73116911113M. Rojka2.0091111952WSep 2 · 20:05T. Krcil1.611111113J. Kabelka2.202720WSep 2 · 19:05T. Krcil1.7311311113M. Rojka2.00511581
D. Hons10
LSep 8 · 16:35D. Hons1.7311118842T. Krcil2.00461111113LSep 8 · 15:05R. Vosyka1.501111113D. Hons2.507670LSep 8 · 14:35R. Fitl1.4412119113D. Hons2.631091161WSep 7 · 17:09D. Hons2.201111113L. Vosyka1.618280WSep 7 · 16:35D. Hons2.0081112113L. Vosyka1.731151071LSep 7 · 15:05R. Fnukal1.671111113D. Hons2.107870LSep 7 · 14:35R. Fitl1.50111114113D. Hons2.50461661LSep 3 · 21:08D. Hons2.259440R. Fitl1.571111113LSep 3 · 20:35J. Vidourek1.6781111113D. Hons2.10115851LSep 3 · 19:35D. Hons2.50612581R. Vosyka1.50111011113
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