TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13091889
Played Sep 7Finished
Radek Fnukal
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117118117––––
David Hons
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:47 and never touched — 55.4% is still 55.4%
Graded at full timeRadek Fnukal to win
55.4%
55.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRadek Fnukal above · David Hons below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 55 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Radek Fnukal at 55.4%
55 points played in total.
H2H Radek Fnukal 4–5 David Hons Radek Fnukal has won 4 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:47What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Fnukal
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-5 in 9
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Fnukal 1528 vs Hons 1489
Fnukal
Correct
both rated, 39 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Fnukal 40% vs Hons 20%
Fnukal
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Fnukal 40% vs Hons 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Fnukal +1 · Hons -4
Hons
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Fnukal)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hons form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFnukal 1.67 / Hons 2.10
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Fnukal)-0.4pp
TT Cup · #13091889
Fnukal1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite50% won 22 of 44
Up 2–0, closes it91% 10 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it58% 11 of 19
Hons2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 60 of 145
Down 0–1, comes back12% 8 of 69
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 42
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeFnukal4wins
AwayHons5wins
4 of 9 to a deciderHons leads 5–4, and 4 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFnukal66.7%2 of 3
AwayHons66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fnukal3Hons6n = 9Hons took 6 of 9
S2Fnukal4Hons5n = 9Hons took 5 of 9
S3Fnukal7Hons2n = 9Fnukal took 7 of 9
S4Fnukal3Hons5n = 8Hons took 5 of 8
S5Fnukal2Hons2n = 4split evenly
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home111%
3–1Four sets, home111%
3–2Decider, home222%
2–3Decider, away222%
1–3Four sets, away333%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 9 meetings
MetricFnukalHonsF − HBasisWins45−1in 9 meetingsFirst set36−3of 9Avg pointsper match41.241.0+0.2per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFnukalHonsBasisWin rate · lifetime63 / 127 vs 230 / 46749.6%49.3%63 / 127 vs 230 / 467Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.936.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FnukalFnukal 1.67/Hons 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.4%
Fnukal · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Fnukal won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WAug 23 · 17:14R. Fnukal—81111113D. Hons—119981
LAug 23 · 15:34R. Fnukal—119111182D. Hons—131185113
WAug 2 · 16:35R. Fnukal—1211113D. Hons—10980
LJun 8 · 11:35R. Fnukal—6101161D. Hons—11123113
WApr 5 · 13:15R. Fnukal—1311119113D. Hons—15761192
LApr 5 · 10:05R. Fnukal—911991D. Hons—11711113
LMar 29 · 13:10R. Fnukal—761191D. Hons—11115113
LMar 29 · 10:35R. Fnukal—11912262D. Hons—9111011113
WDec 26 · 17:05R. Fnukal—118611113D. Hons—81111482
R. Fnukal10
WSep 7 · 14:05R. Fnukal1.831111119113L. Vosyka1.8351381162LSep 4 · 13:20R. Pokorny2.101071111113R. Fnukal1.6712116982LSep 4 · 12:35R. Fitl2.101111139113R. Fnukal1.6797151172LSep 4 · 11:35R. Fnukal1.6781111852R. Pokorny2.10119811113WSep 4 · 10:05J. Joksch1.44561651R. Fnukal2.63111114113WAug 23 · 17:14D. Hons2.25119981R. Fnukal1.5781111113LAug 23 · 16:05P. Chvatal2.6351111113R. Fnukal1.44115591LAug 23 · 15:34D. Hons2.25131185113R. Fnukal1.57119111182LAug 23 · 14:35R. Fnukal1.411191113112J. Lovl2.60811415133WAug 14 · 13:04R. Fitl1.91135991R. Fnukal1.80111111113
D. Hons10
LSep 7 · 14:35R. Fitl1.50111114113D. Hons2.50461661LSep 3 · 21:08D. Hons2.259440R. Fitl1.571111113LSep 3 · 20:35J. Vidourek1.6781111113D. Hons2.10115851LSep 3 · 19:35D. Hons2.50612581R. Vosyka1.50111011113WSep 3 · 18:05R. Fitl1.676650D. Hons2.101111113WAug 29 · 21:10D. Hons1.831114138113R. Pokorny1.83712151182LAug 29 · 20:35D. Hons1.531411961M. Flesar2.3816911113WAug 29 · 19:05R. Pokorny1.7351161182D. Hons2.00117115113LAug 23 · 17:14D. Hons2.25119981R. Fnukal1.5781111113WAug 23 · 15:34D. Hons2.25131185113R. Fnukal1.57119111182
Upcoming Matches
R. Fnukal
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D. Hons
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