TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13108822
Played Sep 10Finished
Tomas Krcil
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
118711116411118
Ladislav Vosyka
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:03 and never touched — 57.0% is still 57.0%
Graded at full timeLadislav Vosyka to win
57.0%
57.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingTomas Krcil above · Ladislav Vosyka below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 4-11
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 88 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Ladislav Vosyka at 57.0%
88 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Krcil 3–4 Ladislav Vosyka Tomas Krcil has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:03What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Vosyka
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-4 in 7
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Krcil 1440 vs Vosyka 1491
Vosyka
Wrong
both rated, 51 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Krcil 20% vs Vosyka 80%
Vosyka
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Krcil 20% vs Vosyka 50%
Vosyka
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Krcil -3 · Vosyka +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Vosyka) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vosyka form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrcil 2.20 / Vosyka 1.61
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Vosyka)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13108822
Krcil2.20
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog54% won 22 of 41
Down 0–1, comes back38% 9 of 24
Down 0–2, comes back9% 1 of 11
Vosyka1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite57% won 83 of 146
Up 2–0, closes it96% 50 of 52
Up 1–0, closes it75% 60 of 80
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeKrcil3wins
AwayVosyka4wins
1 of 7 to a deciderVosyka leads 4–3, and 1 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKrcil66.7%2 of 3
AwayVosyka75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Krcil3Vosyka4n = 7Vosyka took 4 of 7
S2Krcil2Vosyka5n = 7Vosyka took 5 of 7
S3Krcil3Vosyka4n = 7Vosyka took 4 of 7
S4Krcil4Vosyka1n = 5Krcil took 4 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home343%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away114%
0–3Straight, away229%
These 7 meetings
MetricKrcilVosykaK − VBasisWins34−1in 7 meetingsFirst set34−1of 7Avg pointsper match34.436.7−2.3per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrcilVosykaBasisWin rate · lifetime140 / 273 vs 219 / 42851.3%51.2%140 / 273 vs 219 / 428Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VosykaKrcil 2.20/Vosyka 1.61
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.9%
Vosyka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Krcil won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LSep 1 · 18:35T. Krcil—97111192L. Vosyka—111179113
WAug 24 · 20:35T. Krcil—91111113L. Vosyka—116761
WJul 8 · 18:05T. Krcil—121011123L. Vosyka—10129101
LFeb 23 · 18:05T. Krcil—7370L. Vosyka—1111113
LFeb 23 · 15:05T. Krcil—7560L. Vosyka—1111113
LFeb 22 · 20:05T. Krcil—119771L. Vosyka—31111113
WFeb 2 · 19:05T. Krcil—11115113L. Vosyka—691191
T. Krcil10
LSep 10 · 19:05S. Kafka1.73741111113T. Krcil2.0011112782LSep 8 · 17:10T. Krcil1.8351191142D. Hons1.83119118113WSep 8 · 16:35D. Hons1.7311118842T. Krcil2.00461111113LSep 8 · 15:35T. Krcil2.63611521R. Fitl1.4411611113LSep 8 · 14:05R. Vosyka1.50111188113T. Krcil2.5089111182WSep 7 · 21:15J. Hajek2.1091080T. Krcil1.671112113LSep 7 · 20:05J. Martin1.671141110113T. Krcil2.1001171262LSep 7 · 19:35M. Rojka2.201114113T. Krcil1.6161280LSep 7 · 18:35T. Krcil1.50191181J. Hajek2.5011117113WSep 2 · 21:50T. Krcil1.73116911113M. Rojka2.0091111952
L. Vosyka10
WSep 10 · 19:35L. Vosyka1.67111197143M. Flesar2.10921111122WSep 10 · 18:05S. Kafka1.83481191L. Vosyka1.8311119113WSep 8 · 21:33M. Flesar2.0051111942L. Vosyka1.73119411113LSep 8 · 20:35J. Vidourek2.2511411113L. Vosyka1.57411991WSep 8 · 19:35L. Vosyka1.8331111113M. Flesar1.83118691WSep 8 · 18:05R. Neterda1.73811811L. Vosyka2.0011911113LSep 7 · 17:09D. Hons2.201111113L. Vosyka1.618280LSep 7 · 16:35D. Hons2.0081112113L. Vosyka1.731151071LSep 7 · 15:35L. Vosyka2.009650R. Fitl1.731111113LSep 7 · 14:05R. Fnukal1.831111119113L. Vosyka1.8351381162
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