TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13108569
Played Sep 10Finished
Ladislav Vosyka
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1191129117111412
Milan Flesar
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:15 and never touched — 61.1% is still 61.1%
Graded at full timeLadislav Vosyka to win
61.1%
61.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingLadislav Vosyka above · Milan Flesar below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-2
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 14-12
Point 97 set 5, 14-12 — our read held Ladislav Vosyka at 61.1%
97 points played in total.
H2H Ladislav Vosyka 10–4 Milan Flesar Milan Flesar has won 4 of their 14 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:15What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Vosyka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-4 in 14
Vosyka
Correct
gap of 6 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vosyka 1481 vs Flesar 1472
Vosyka
Correct
both rated, 9 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vosyka 80% vs Flesar 60%
Vosyka
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vosyka 50% vs Flesar 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vosyka +2 · Flesar +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Vosyka) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Flesar form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVosyka 1.67 / Flesar 2.10
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Vosyka)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13108569
Vosyka1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite57% won 83 of 146
Up 2–0, closes it96% 50 of 52
Up 1–0, closes it75% 60 of 80
Flesar2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 47 of 107
Down 0–1, comes back28% 18 of 65
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 41
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVosyka7wins
AwayFlesar3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderVosyka leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVosyka71.4%5 of 7
AwayFlesar33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vosyka7Flesar3n = 10Vosyka took 7 of 10
S2Vosyka6Flesar4n = 10Vosyka took 6 of 10
S3Vosyka7Flesar3n = 10Vosyka took 7 of 10
S4Vosyka6Flesar1n = 7Vosyka took 6 of 7
S5Vosyka1Flesar3n = 4Flesar took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricVosykaFlesarV − FBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.333.6+5.7per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVosykaFlesarBasisWin rate · lifetime218 / 427 vs 211 / 39851.1%53%218 / 427 vs 211 / 398Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VosykaVosyka 1.67/Flesar 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57%
Vosyka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Vosyka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 8 · 21:33L. Vosyka—119411113M. Flesar—51111942
WSep 8 · 19:35L. Vosyka—31111113M. Flesar—118691
LSep 2 · 16:05L. Vosyka—11611942M. Flesar—711611113
LAug 25 · 21:40L. Vosyka—11961172M. Flesar—911116113
LAug 25 · 18:35L. Vosyka—98111132M. Flesar—111187113
WAug 23 · 18:35L. Vosyka—11119113M. Flesar—981161
WAug 9 · 16:35L. Vosyka—1111113M. Flesar—7880
WJun 29 · 14:35L. Vosyka—1111113M. Flesar—5350
WJun 21 · 18:05L. Vosyka—1211123M. Flesar—106100
WJun 14 · 18:05L. Vosyka—81111113M. Flesar—118231
L. Vosyka10
LSep 10 · 20:35T. Krcil2.20117114113L. Vosyka1.6181161182WSep 10 · 18:05S. Kafka1.83481191L. Vosyka1.8311119113WSep 8 · 21:33M. Flesar2.0051111942L. Vosyka1.73119411113LSep 8 · 20:35J. Vidourek2.2511411113L. Vosyka1.57411991WSep 8 · 19:35L. Vosyka1.8331111113M. Flesar1.83118691WSep 8 · 18:05R. Neterda1.73811811L. Vosyka2.0011911113LSep 7 · 17:09D. Hons2.201111113L. Vosyka1.618280LSep 7 · 16:35D. Hons2.0081112113L. Vosyka1.731151071LSep 7 · 15:35L. Vosyka2.009650R. Fitl1.731111113LSep 7 · 14:05R. Fnukal1.831111119113L. Vosyka1.8351381162
M. Flesar10
LSep 10 · 20:05S. Kafka1.531111153M. Flesar2.3895130WSep 10 · 18:35M. Flesar1.801118113T. Krcil1.9121670LSep 9 · 21:35J. Martin1.4011119113M. Flesar2.75551181WSep 9 · 20:05M. Flesar2.0011911113J. Vidourek1.73811881WSep 9 · 19:05M. Flesar2.1091211113D. Hons1.671110641LSep 9 · 18:05M. Flesar2.256230J. Martin1.571111113LSep 8 · 21:33M. Flesar2.0051111942L. Vosyka1.73119411113WSep 8 · 20:05R. Neterda1.44811761M. Flesar2.6311411113LSep 8 · 19:35L. Vosyka1.8331111113M. Flesar1.83118691WSep 8 · 18:35M. Flesar2.001111113J. Vidourek1.737880
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