TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13109176
Played Sep 10Finished
Stanislav Kafka
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1191151513––––
Milan Flesar
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:03 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeStanislav Kafka to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingStanislav Kafka above · Milan Flesar below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 15-13
Point 64 set 3, 15-13 — our read held Stanislav Kafka at 57.7%
64 points played in total.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 11:03What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Kafka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Kafka 1620 vs Flesar 1472
Kafka
Correct
both rated, 148 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kafka 60% vs Flesar 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kafka 60% vs Flesar 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kafka +1 · Flesar +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Kafka) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Flesar form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKafka 1.53 / Flesar 2.38
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Kafka)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #13109176
Kafka1.53
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite65% won 11 of 17
Up 2–0, closes it100% 6 of 6
Up 1–0, closes it100% 8 of 8
Flesar2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 47 of 107
Down 0–1, comes back28% 18 of 65
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 41
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricKafkaFlesarBasisWin rate · lifetime58 / 92 vs 211 / 39863%53%58 / 92 vs 211 / 398Avg sets wonper match2.32.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.537.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KafkaKafka 1.53/Flesar 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.8%
Kafka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kafka won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
S. Kafka10
WSep 10 · 19:05S. Kafka1.73741111113T. Krcil2.0011112782LSep 10 · 18:05S. Kafka1.83481191L. Vosyka1.8311119113LMay 4 · 21:35S. Kafka1.646990L. Vosyka2.041111113WMay 4 · 20:05S. Kafka1.661211173L. Vosyka2.00107150WMay 4 · 19:05S. Kafka1.611112113S. Vyskocil2.0891090WMay 4 · 18:05S. Kafka1.5011115113M. Jirasek2.30841161LApr 17 · 17:05S. Kafka—751171R. Neterda—11116113LApr 17 · 16:05S. Kafka—9550J. Hertl—1111113WApr 17 · 15:05S. Kafka1.7551111113L. Vosyka1.93114961WApr 17 · 14:05S. Kafka2.0711811113R. Neterda1.65711521
M. Flesar10
LSep 10 · 19:35L. Vosyka1.67111197143M. Flesar2.10921111122WSep 10 · 18:35M. Flesar1.801118113T. Krcil1.9121670LSep 9 · 21:35J. Martin1.4011119113M. Flesar2.75551181WSep 9 · 20:05M. Flesar2.0011911113J. Vidourek1.73811881WSep 9 · 19:05M. Flesar2.1091211113D. Hons1.671110641LSep 9 · 18:05M. Flesar2.256230J. Martin1.571111113LSep 8 · 21:33M. Flesar2.0051111942L. Vosyka1.73119411113WSep 8 · 20:05R. Neterda1.44811761M. Flesar2.6311411113LSep 8 · 19:35L. Vosyka1.8331111113M. Flesar1.83118691WSep 8 · 18:35M. Flesar2.001111113J. Vidourek1.737880
Upcoming Matches
S. Kafka
M. Flesar1 of 1 neutral
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