TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13103831
Played Sep 9Finished
Milan Flesar
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
118911118118––
Jan Vidourek
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:57 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJan Vidourek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMilan Flesar above · Jan Vidourek below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 77 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Jan Vidourek at 54.0%
77 points played in total.
H2H Milan Flesar 15–8 Jan Vidourek Jan Vidourek has won 8 of their 23 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:57What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Vidourek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-8 in 23
Flesar
Correct
gap of 7 in 23, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Flesar 1455 vs Vidourek 1507
Vidourek
Wrong
both rated, 52 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Flesar 40% vs Vidourek 80%
Vidourek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Flesar 40% vs Vidourek 60%
Vidourek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Flesar +1 · Vidourek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vidourek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vidourek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFlesar 2.00 / Vidourek 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Vidourek)+0.3pp
TT Cup · #13103831
Flesar2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog44% won 45 of 103
Down 0–1, comes back27% 17 of 62
Down 0–2, comes back8% 3 of 39
Vidourek1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite62% won 54 of 87
Up 2–0, closes it91% 21 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it81% 30 of 37
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFlesar8wins
AwayVidourek2wins
4 of 10 to a deciderFlesar leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFlesar88.9%8 of 9
AwayVidourekn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Flesar9Vidourek1n = 10Flesar took 9 of 10
S2Flesar8Vidourek2n = 10Flesar took 8 of 10
S3Flesar3Vidourek7n = 10Vidourek took 7 of 10
S4Flesar6Vidourek1n = 7Flesar took 6 of 7
S5Flesar2Vidourek2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricFlesarVidourekF − VBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match40.535.0+5.5per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFlesarVidourekBasisWin rate · lifetime209 / 395 vs 168 / 32252.9%52.2%209 / 395 vs 168 / 322Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.138.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VidourekFlesar 2.00/Vidourek 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Vidourek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Flesar won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 8 · 18:35M. Flesar—1111113J. Vidourek—7880
WJul 15 · 21:35M. Flesar—11115113J. Vidourek—891151
WJul 15 · 20:05M. Flesar—111111113J. Vidourek—691381
WJul 12 · 21:15M. Flesar—1110511113J. Vidourek—31211392
LJul 12 · 18:35M. Flesar—119101152J. Vidourek—811128113
LJul 6 · 20:05M. Flesar—711111332J. Vidourek—1161311113
WJun 24 · 18:35M. Flesar—11144113J. Vidourek—6121191
WJun 3 · 21:35M. Flesar—111264113J. Vidourek—410111172
WJun 3 · 20:05M. Flesar—1111123J. Vidourek—83100
WMay 25 · 21:35M. Flesar—1111113J. Vidourek—4750
M. Flesar10
WSep 9 · 19:05M. Flesar2.1091211113D. Hons1.671110641LSep 9 · 18:05M. Flesar2.256230J. Martin1.571111113LSep 8 · 21:33M. Flesar2.0051111942L. Vosyka1.73119411113WSep 8 · 20:05R. Neterda1.44811761M. Flesar2.6311411113LSep 8 · 19:35L. Vosyka1.8331111113M. Flesar1.83118691WSep 8 · 18:35M. Flesar2.001111113J. Vidourek1.737880LSep 6 · 09:05J. Martin1.671111163M. Flesar2.1088140WSep 6 · 08:05J. Ruzicka1.257126121M. Flesar3.75111011143LSep 6 · 07:35J. Martin1.731111113M. Flesar2.007640LSep 6 · 06:35M. Flesar3.255980J. Lovl1.331111113
J. Vidourek10
LSep 9 · 19:35J. Martin2.001111113J. Vidourek1.739680WSep 8 · 21:03J. Vidourek2.0081111113R. Neterda1.73116551WSep 8 · 20:35J. Vidourek2.2511411113L. Vosyka1.57411991WSep 8 · 19:05R. Neterda1.618119101J. Vidourek2.2011611123LSep 8 · 18:35M. Flesar2.001111113J. Vidourek1.737880LSep 3 · 21:39J. Vidourek2.38891471R. Vosyka1.53111112113WSep 3 · 20:35J. Vidourek1.6781111113D. Hons2.10115851LSep 3 · 19:05R. Fitl1.531111113J. Vidourek2.383850WSep 3 · 18:35R. Vosyka1.50961161J. Vidourek2.5011116113WSep 1 · 21:48L. Vosyka1.571011981J. Vidourek2.2512911113
Upcoming Matches
M. Flesar
J. Vidourek
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