TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13105086
Played Sep 9Finished
Jirasek Martin
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119116118––––
Jan Vidourek
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:10 and never touched — 54.5% is still 54.5%
Graded at full timeJan Vidourek to win
54.5%
54.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJirasek Martin above · Jan Vidourek below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 56 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Jan Vidourek at 54.5%
56 points played in total.
H2H Jirasek Martin 1–1 Jan Vidourek Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:10What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Vidourek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Martin 1498 vs Vidourek 1522
Vidourek
Wrong
both rated, 23 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Martin 60% vs Vidourek 80%
Vidourek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Martin 60% vs Vidourek 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Martin +1 · Vidourek +4
Vidourek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Vidourek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vidourek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMartin 2.00 / Vidourek 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 55%
Edge (Vidourek)+0.8pp
TT Cup · #13105086
Martin2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog46% won 16 of 35
Down 0–1, comes back15% 2 of 13
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 8
Vidourek1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite62% won 54 of 87
Up 2–0, closes it91% 21 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it81% 30 of 37
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeMartin1wins
AwayVidourek1wins
Level at 1–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricMartinVidourekM − VBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match33.538.5−5.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMartinVidourekBasisWin rate · lifetime33 / 66 vs 168 / 32150%52.3%33 / 66 vs 168 / 321Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.638.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VidourekMartin 2.00/Vidourek 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.5%
Vidourek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Martin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LAug 7 · 19:05J. Martin—8870J. Vidourek—1111113
WAug 4 · 20:35J. Martin—13115153J. Vidourek—11911131
J. Martin10
WSep 9 · 18:05M. Flesar2.256230J. Martin1.571111113LSep 7 · 21:45M. Rojka2.011112113J. Martin1.6641070WSep 7 · 20:05J. Martin1.671141110113T. Krcil2.1001171262WSep 7 · 19:05J. Martin1.731112113J. Hajek2.0041070LSep 7 · 18:05J. Martin1.288470M. Rojka3.501111113WSep 6 · 09:05J. Martin1.671111163M. Flesar2.1088140LSep 6 · 08:35J. Lovl1.441111113J. Martin2.639550WSep 6 · 07:35J. Martin1.731111113M. Flesar2.007640LSep 6 · 06:05J. Ruzicka1.531211113J. Martin2.3810670WSep 5 · 21:04J. Martin2.001111123R. Vavricka1.7389100
J. Vidourek10
WSep 9 · 18:35J. Vidourek1.571213117113D. Hons2.25141151172WSep 8 · 21:03J. Vidourek2.0081111113R. Neterda1.73116551WSep 8 · 20:35J. Vidourek2.2511411113L. Vosyka1.57411991WSep 8 · 19:05R. Neterda1.618119101J. Vidourek2.2011611123LSep 8 · 18:35M. Flesar2.001111113J. Vidourek1.737880LSep 3 · 21:39J. Vidourek2.38891471R. Vosyka1.53111112113WSep 3 · 20:35J. Vidourek1.6781111113D. Hons2.10115851LSep 3 · 19:05R. Fitl1.531111113J. Vidourek2.383850WSep 3 · 18:35R. Vosyka1.50961161J. Vidourek2.5011116113WSep 1 · 21:48L. Vosyka1.571011981J. Vidourek2.2512911113
Upcoming Matches
J. Martin
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