TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13102894
Played Sep 9Finished
Jan Vidourek
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
12141311115711117
David Hons
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:56 and never touched — 64.4% is still 64.4%
Graded at full timeJan Vidourek to win
64.4%
64.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Vidourek above · David Hons below
Set 1 · 12-14
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 102 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Jan Vidourek at 64.4%
102 points played in total.
H2H Jan Vidourek 14–5 David Hons David Hons has won 5 of their 19 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 07:56What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Vidourek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-5 in 19
Vidourek
Correct
gap of 9 in 19, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vidourek 1511 vs Hons 1501
Vidourek
Correct
both rated, 10 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vidourek 60% vs Hons 40%
Vidourek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vidourek 60% vs Hons 30%
Vidourek
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vidourek +3 · Hons +1
Vidourek
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Vidourek) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVidourek 1.57 / Hons 2.25
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Vidourek)+2.4pp
TT Cup · #13102894
Vidourek1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite62% won 54 of 87
Up 2–0, closes it91% 21 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it81% 30 of 37
Hons2.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog42% won 63 of 151
Down 0–1, comes back12% 9 of 74
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 46
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVidourek7wins
AwayHons3wins
1 of 10 to a deciderVidourek leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVidourek100%6 of 6
AwayHons75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vidourek6Hons4n = 10Vidourek took 6 of 10
S2Vidourek6Hons4n = 10Vidourek took 6 of 10
S3Vidourek6Hons4n = 10Vidourek took 6 of 10
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricVidourekHonsV − HBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match31.427.1+4.3per matchSweeps53+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVidourekHonsBasisWin rate · lifetime167 / 320 vs 233 / 47452.2%49.2%167 / 320 vs 233 / 474Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.036.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VidourekVidourek 1.57/Hons 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.3%
Vidourek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Vidourek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 3 · 20:35J. Vidourek—81111113D. Hons—115851
WAug 7 · 18:35J. Vidourek—1111113D. Hons—5780
LJul 31 · 21:10J. Vidourek—2690D. Hons—1111113
WJul 31 · 18:05J. Vidourek—1111113D. Hons—9660
WJul 24 · 18:05J. Vidourek—118911113D. Hons—81111272
WJul 19 · 18:05J. Vidourek—1111113D. Hons—9640
LJul 10 · 21:15J. Vidourek—5790D. Hons—1111113
LJul 10 · 20:05J. Vidourek—4940D. Hons—1111113
WMar 18 · 22:15J. Vidourek—1111113D. Hons—7550
WMar 18 · 19:05J. Vidourek—1411113D. Hons—12960
J. Vidourek10
LSep 9 · 19:35J. Martin2.001111113J. Vidourek1.739680WSep 8 · 21:03J. Vidourek2.0081111113R. Neterda1.73116551WSep 8 · 20:35J. Vidourek2.2511411113L. Vosyka1.57411991WSep 8 · 19:05R. Neterda1.618119101J. Vidourek2.2011611123LSep 8 · 18:35M. Flesar2.001111113J. Vidourek1.737880LSep 3 · 21:39J. Vidourek2.38891471R. Vosyka1.53111112113WSep 3 · 20:35J. Vidourek1.6781111113D. Hons2.10115851LSep 3 · 19:05R. Fitl1.531111113J. Vidourek2.383850WSep 3 · 18:35R. Vosyka1.50961161J. Vidourek2.5011116113WSep 1 · 21:48L. Vosyka1.571011981J. Vidourek2.2512911113
D. Hons10
LSep 9 · 19:05M. Flesar2.1091211113D. Hons1.671110641WSep 8 · 17:10T. Krcil1.8351191142D. Hons1.83119118113LSep 8 · 16:35D. Hons1.7311118842T. Krcil2.00461111113LSep 8 · 15:05R. Vosyka1.501111113D. Hons2.507670LSep 8 · 14:35R. Fitl1.4412119113D. Hons2.631091161WSep 7 · 17:09D. Hons2.201111113L. Vosyka1.618280WSep 7 · 16:35D. Hons2.0081112113L. Vosyka1.731151071LSep 7 · 15:05R. Fnukal1.671111113D. Hons2.107870LSep 7 · 14:35R. Fitl1.50111114113D. Hons2.50461661LSep 3 · 20:35J. Vidourek1.6781111113D. Hons2.10115851
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