TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13103829
Played Sep 9Finished
Matyas Rojka
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
211711411––––
Tomas Motacek
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:57 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMatyas Rojka to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMatyas Rojka above · Tomas Motacek below
Set 1 · 2-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Point 46 set 3, 4-11 — our read held Matyas Rojka at 54.0%
46 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:57What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Rojka
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Rojka 1336 vs Motacek 1394
Motacek
Correct
both rated, 57 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rojka 60% vs Motacek 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rojka 40% vs Motacek 60%
Motacek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Rojka -2 · Motacek -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Rojka)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRojka 1.73 / Motacek 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Rojka)+0.3pp
TT Cup · #13103829
Rojka1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite61% won 25 of 41
Up 2–0, closes it100% 18 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it71% 20 of 28
Motacek2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog64% won 7 of 11
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricRojkaMotacekBasisWin rate · lifetime95 / 200 vs 11 / 2247.5%50%95 / 200 vs 11 / 22Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.337.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RojkaRojka 1.73/Motacek 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Rojka · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Motacek won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
M. Rojka10
LSep 9 · 15:05P. Pesout2.101311911133M. Rojka1.67156119112LSep 9 · 14:35M. Chmelicek2.00111011113M. Rojka1.73612591WSep 7 · 21:45M. Rojka2.011112113J. Martin1.6641070WSep 7 · 20:35J. Hajek1.57311111452M. Rojka2.251113612113WSep 7 · 19:35M. Rojka2.201114113T. Krcil1.6161280WSep 7 · 18:05J. Martin1.288470M. Rojka3.501111113LSep 6 · 21:10J. Kabelka1.5011811113M. Rojka2.50311551LSep 6 · 20:35J. Kabelka2.0051111113M. Rojka1.73117681LSep 6 · 19:35M. Rojka1.916411131M. Chmelicek1.8011118153LSep 6 · 18:05L. Vosyka1.6791111113M. Rojka2.10117531
T. Motacek10
LSep 9 · 15:35T. Motacek1.7371151172M. Chmelicek2.00117111113LSep 9 · 14:05P. Pesout2.00111112113T. Motacek1.73981481WSep 6 · 13:35P. Pesout1.80611881T. Motacek1.9111811113WSep 6 · 12:35T. Motacek1.2811118123R. Jaros3.506811101WSep 6 · 11:05M. Chmelicek1.676790T. Motacek2.101111113LSep 6 · 10:35P. Pesout1.83111247113T. Motacek1.83910111192WSep 5 · 17:44R. Hruby1.91117891T. Motacek1.8091111113WSep 5 · 16:05M. Chmelicek1.53591111102T. Motacek2.38111196123WSep 5 · 15:35R. Jaros3.25119801T. Motacek1.3351111113LSep 5 · 14:35T. Motacek1.671158101R. Hruby2.1091111123
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