TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13128605
Played Sep 14Finished
Volodymyr Korobko
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
511611116111––
Yaroslav Makovka
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:01 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeYaroslav Makovka to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVolodymyr Korobko above · Yaroslav Makovka below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 1-11
Point 62 set 4, 1-11 — our read held Yaroslav Makovka at 54.0%
62 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Korobko 0–1 Yaroslav Makovka Volodymyr Korobko has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:01What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Makovka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Korobko 1466 vs Makovka 1474
Makovka
Correct
both rated, 8 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Korobko 60% vs Makovka 40%
Korobko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Korobko 40% vs Makovka 20%
Korobko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Korobko +1 · Makovka -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Makovka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Makovka form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKorobko 1.91 / Makovka 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Makovka)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13128605
Korobko1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog36% won 40 of 110
Down 0–1, comes back15% 11 of 72
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 51
Makovka1.80
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite73% won 11 of 15
Up 2–0, closes it100% 5 of 5
Up 1–0, closes it89% 8 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeKorobko0wins
AwayMakovka1wins
Makovka leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricKorobkoMakovkaK − MBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match23.039.0−16.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKorobkoMakovkaBasisWin rate · lifetime210 / 469 vs 143 / 36744.8%39%210 / 469 vs 143 / 367Avg sets wonper match1.81.7per matchAvg pointsper match34.635.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MakovkaKorobko 1.91/Makovka 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Makovka · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Makovka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 14 · 22:30V. Korobko23561111Y. Makovka3911116113
V. Korobko10
WSep 14 · 20:30V. Korobko1.5711812113I. Fashchevskyi2.256111071LSep 12 · 02:45V. Korobko1.914570I. Pytsko1.801111113WSep 12 · 24:45M. Potapov1.25115541V. Korobko3.7581111113LSep 11 · 23:45V. Korobko1.8375111172O. Storozhenko1.83111178113WSep 11 · 22:45Y. Tebenko1.738750V. Korobko2.001111113LSep 11 · 21:15V. Korobko4.335101151R. Novak1.2011124113LSep 8 · 02:15D. Maltsev1.25119411113V. Korobko3.7541111862WSep 8 · 01:15V. Korobko1.731111113I. Fashchevskyi2.007850LSep 8 · 24:15V. Korobko2.00991111112I. Pytsko1.73111175133LSep 7 · 22:45V. Korobko1.9171111592O. Storozhenko1.80113711113
Y. Makovka10
WSep 14 · 23:30Y. Makovka1.801114113I. Fashchevskyi1.9181290LSep 14 · 21:00Y. Makovka1.91811491D. Maltsev1.8011411113WAug 30 · 10:30O. Blashkun1.40561171Y. Makovka2.7511117113WAug 30 · 09:30Y. Makovka3.001111113R. Sopivnyk1.367420LAug 30 · 08:30Y. Makovka2.7510131081Y. Holoborodko1.40121112113LAug 30 · 07:00Y. Makovka2.7511123292V. Merzlikin1.409101111113LAug 30 · 05:00Y. Makovka2.6312115622O. Zhyrnov1.441081111113LAug 29 · 17:40O. Blashkun1.30811911113Y. Makovka3.4011611572LAug 29 · 16:10Y. Makovka2.506870O. Zhyrnov1.501111113LAug 29 · 14:10O. Varlamov1.5711115133Y. Makovka2.257711111
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