TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13111128
Played Sep 12Finished
Volodymyr Korobko
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
411511711––––
Ivan Pytsko
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:23 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeIvan Pytsko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVolodymyr Korobko above · Ivan Pytsko below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 49 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Ivan Pytsko at 54.0%
49 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Korobko 17–13 Ivan Pytsko Ivan Pytsko has won 13 of their 30 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickConfirm
Sealed 19:23What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Pytsko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
17-13 in 30
Korobko
Wrong
gap of 4 in 30, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Korobko 1479 vs Pytsko 1534
Pytsko
Correct
both rated, 55 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Korobko 40% vs Pytsko 60%
Pytsko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Korobko 30% vs Pytsko 50%
Pytsko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Korobko +1 · Pytsko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Pytsko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Korobko form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKorobko 1.91 / Pytsko 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Pytsko)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13111128
Korobko1.91
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog36% won 39 of 109
Down 0–1, comes back15% 11 of 72
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 51
Pytsko1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite48% won 53 of 110
Up 2–0, closes it96% 23 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it71% 41 of 58
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKorobko5wins
AwayPytsko5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKorobko66.7%4 of 6
AwayPytsko75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Korobko6Pytsko4n = 10Korobko took 6 of 10
S2Korobko6Pytsko4n = 10Korobko took 6 of 10
S3Korobko4Pytsko6n = 10Pytsko took 6 of 10
S4Korobko3Pytsko3n = 6split evenly
S5Korobko1Pytsko2n = 3Pytsko took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKorobkoPytskoK − PBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match36.833.7+3.1per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKorobkoPytskoBasisWin rate · lifetime213 / 471 vs 331 / 59445.2%55.7%213 / 471 vs 331 / 594Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match34.738.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PytskoKorobko 1.91/Pytsko 1.80
Hit
What we said
54%
Pytsko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Pytsko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 8 · 24:15V. Korobko—991111112I. Pytsko—111175133
LAug 31 · 22:30V. Korobko—71160I. Pytsko—1113113
LAug 27 · 21:45V. Korobko—61050I. Pytsko—1112113
WAug 24 · 20:00V. Korobko—111168113I. Pytsko—69111172
LAug 23 · 07:55V. Korobko—1110891I. Pytsko—61211113
LAug 8 · 24:15V. Korobko—11128262I. Pytsko—3101111113
WJul 24 · 02:15V. Korobko—11117113I. Pytsko—791141
WJul 18 · 24:15V. Korobko—1111113I. Pytsko—6470
WJul 14 · 24:30V. Korobko—91111113I. Pytsko—112841
WJul 10 · 22:45V. Korobko—1111113I. Pytsko—6750
V. Korobko10
WSep 12 · 24:45M. Potapov1.25115541V. Korobko3.7581111113LSep 11 · 23:45V. Korobko1.8375111172O. Storozhenko1.83111178113WSep 11 · 22:45Y. Tebenko1.738750V. Korobko2.001111113LSep 11 · 21:15V. Korobko4.335101151R. Novak1.2011124113LSep 8 · 02:15D. Maltsev1.25119411113V. Korobko3.7541111862WSep 8 · 01:15V. Korobko1.731111113I. Fashchevskyi2.007850LSep 8 · 24:15V. Korobko2.00991111112I. Pytsko1.73111175133LSep 7 · 22:45V. Korobko1.9171111592O. Storozhenko1.80113711113LSep 7 · 20:45V. Korobko4.3371141352M. Potapov1.201171111113LSep 6 · 02:00M. Potapov1.221111113V. Korobko4.005970
I. Pytsko10
LSep 12 · 01:45O. Storozhenko1.67101312113I. Pytsko2.1012111061WSep 12 · 24:15Y. Tebenko2.007570I. Pytsko1.731111113LSep 11 · 22:15R. Novak1.6111911173I. Pytsko2.207117151WSep 11 · 20:15M. Potapov2.20891161I. Pytsko1.6111115113WSep 9 · 11:35I. Pytsko2.25121011123O. Storozhenko1.5710126101LSep 9 · 09:35M. Potapov2.20911115113I. Pytsko1.6111691152WSep 9 · 07:35D. Maltsev2.25411861I. Pytsko1.5711811113WSep 9 · 06:35I. Pytsko1.731211125133I. Fashchevskyi2.001471011112LSep 9 · 05:35Y. Tebenko2.001211113I. Pytsko1.7310450WSep 8 · 24:15V. Korobko2.00991111112I. Pytsko1.73111175133
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