TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13111329
Played Sep 12Finished
Yaroslav Tebenko
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
9–1Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711511711––––
Ivan Pytsko
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:04 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeIvan Pytsko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYaroslav Tebenko above · Ivan Pytsko below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 52 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Ivan Pytsko at 54.0%
52 points played in total.
H2H Yaroslav Tebenko 56–74 Ivan Pytsko Yaroslav Tebenko has won 56 of their 130 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:04What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Pytsko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
56-74 in 130
Pytsko
Correct
gap of 18 in 130, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tebenko 1653 vs Pytsko 1526
Tebenko
Wrong
both rated, 127 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tebenko 80% vs Pytsko 60%
Tebenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tebenko 90% vs Pytsko 40%
Tebenko
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Tebenko -1 · Pytsko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Pytsko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tebenko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTebenko 2.00 / Pytsko 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Pytsko)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13111329
Tebenko2.00
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog49% won 133 of 274
Down 0–1, comes back32% 47 of 147
Down 0–2, comes back13% 10 of 79
Pytsko1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite48% won 53 of 110
Up 2–0, closes it96% 23 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it71% 41 of 58
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTebenko9wins
AwayPytsko1wins
3 of 10 to a deciderTebenko leads 9–1, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTebenko100%6 of 6
AwayPytsko25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tebenko6Pytsko4n = 10Tebenko took 6 of 10
S2Tebenko8Pytsko2n = 10Tebenko took 8 of 10
S3Tebenko5Pytsko5n = 10split evenly
S4Tebenko5Pytsko0n = 5Tebenko took 5 of 5
S5Tebenko3Pytsko0n = 3Tebenko took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricTebenkoPytskoT − PBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.830.3+9.5per matchSweeps41+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTebenkoPytskoBasisWin rate · lifetime396 / 820 vs 330 / 59248.3%55.7%396 / 820 vs 330 / 592Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.638.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PytskoTebenko 2.00/Pytsko 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Pytsko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Pytsko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 9 · 05:35Y. Tebenko—1211113I. Pytsko—10450
WSep 8 · 18:35Y. Tebenko—1111163I. Pytsko—78140
WSep 4 · 12:55Y. Tebenko—9111311113I. Pytsko—11915862
WSep 2 · 07:05Y. Tebenko—11117113I. Pytsko—831171
LAug 25 · 02:30Y. Tebenko—5850I. Pytsko—1111113
WAug 5 · 11:05Y. Tebenko—1211113I. Pytsko—10490
WJul 17 · 20:15Y. Tebenko—1111113I. Pytsko—5550
WJul 15 · 11:35Y. Tebenko—111011113I. Pytsko—712581
WJul 14 · 14:35Y. Tebenko—10111011113I. Pytsko—12312452
WJul 13 · 22:30Y. Tebenko—811911113I. Pytsko—11911432
Y. Tebenko10
LSep 11 · 22:45Y. Tebenko1.738750V. Korobko2.001111113WSep 11 · 20:45Y. Tebenko1.9111513113O. Storozhenko1.807111181WSep 9 · 11:05Y. Tebenko1.671111123I. Fashchevskyi2.1064100WSep 9 · 09:05D. Maltsev1.91511871Y. Tebenko1.8011511113WSep 9 · 08:05Y. Tebenko2.001111113O. Storozhenko1.738980WSep 9 · 07:05M. Potapov1.731176101Y. Tebenko2.0091111123WSep 9 · 05:35Y. Tebenko2.001211113I. Pytsko1.7310450WSep 8 · 18:35Y. Tebenko2.001111163I. Pytsko1.7378140WSep 8 · 16:35V. Moshovskyi1.5711411682Y. Tebenko2.25311211113WSep 8 · 15:35Y. Tebenko2.1081111113O. Storozhenko1.67117991
I. Pytsko10
LSep 11 · 22:15R. Novak1.6111911173I. Pytsko2.207117151WSep 11 · 20:15M. Potapov2.20891161I. Pytsko1.6111115113WSep 9 · 11:35I. Pytsko2.25121011123O. Storozhenko1.5710126101LSep 9 · 09:35M. Potapov2.20911115113I. Pytsko1.6111691152WSep 9 · 07:35D. Maltsev2.25411861I. Pytsko1.5711811113WSep 9 · 06:35I. Pytsko1.731211125133I. Fashchevskyi2.001471011112LSep 9 · 05:35Y. Tebenko2.001211113I. Pytsko1.7310450LSep 8 · 18:35Y. Tebenko2.001111163I. Pytsko1.7378140LSep 8 · 17:35O. Storozhenko1.571111711113I. Pytsko2.2588111382LSep 8 · 16:05M. Potapov2.10115711113I. Pytsko1.6781111772
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