TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13111004
Played Sep 11Finished
Mykhailo Potapov
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811911115611––
Ivan Pytsko
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:53 and never touched — 58.1% is still 58.1%
Graded at full timeIvan Pytsko to win
58.1%
58.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMykhailo Potapov above · Ivan Pytsko below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 72 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Ivan Pytsko at 58.1%
72 points played in total.
H2H Mykhailo Potapov 47–53 Ivan Pytsko Mykhailo Potapov has won 47 of their 100 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:53What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Pytsko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
47-53 in 100
Pytsko
Correct
gap of 6 in 100, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Potapov 1557 vs Pytsko 1538
Potapov
Wrong
both rated, 19 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Potapov 60% vs Pytsko 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Potapov 70% vs Pytsko 50%
Potapov
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Potapov +2 · Pytsko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Pytsko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Potapov form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPotapov 2.20 / Pytsko 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Pytsko)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13111004
Potapov2.20
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog43% won 51 of 118
Down 0–1, comes back20% 12 of 61
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 26
Pytsko1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite48% won 53 of 110
Up 2–0, closes it96% 23 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it71% 41 of 58
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePotapov4wins
AwayPytsko6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderPytsko leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePotapov100%3 of 3
AwayPytsko85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Potapov3Pytsko7n = 10Pytsko took 7 of 10
S2Potapov2Pytsko8n = 10Pytsko took 8 of 10
S3Potapov6Pytsko4n = 10Potapov took 6 of 10
S4Potapov1Pytsko7n = 8Pytsko took 7 of 8
S5Potapov4Pytsko0n = 4Potapov took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricPotapovPytskoPotapov − PytskoBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match35.941.6−5.7per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPotapovPytskoBasisWin rate · lifetime204 / 429 vs 330 / 59147.6%55.8%204 / 429 vs 330 / 591Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.638.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PytskoPotapov 2.20/Pytsko 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.1%
Pytsko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Pytsko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 11 · 20:15M. Potapov—891161I. Pytsko—11115113
WSep 9 · 09:35M. Potapov—911115113I. Pytsko—11691152
WSep 8 · 16:05M. Potapov—115711113I. Pytsko—81111772
LSep 8 · 01:45M. Potapov—6880I. Pytsko—1111113
LSep 4 · 18:55M. Potapov—541151I. Pytsko—11119113
WSep 2 · 08:35M. Potapov—116125113I. Pytsko—911101192
LSep 1 · 16:35M. Potapov—13111161I. Pytsko—15138113
WAug 31 · 21:00M. Potapov—117115113I. Pytsko—81181182
LAug 22 · 14:55M. Potapov—8870I. Pytsko—1111113
LAug 22 · 24:15M. Potapov—711681I. Pytsko—11811113
M. Potapov10
WSep 9 · 10:35D. Maltsev1.8311152972M. Potapov1.838131111113WSep 9 · 09:35M. Potapov2.20911115113I. Pytsko1.6111691152LSep 9 · 08:35M. Potapov1.8381161172I. Fashchevskyi1.83115117113LSep 9 · 07:05M. Potapov1.731176101Y. Tebenko2.0091111123WSep 9 · 05:05M. Potapov2.5081111113O. Storozhenko1.50118961WSep 8 · 18:05V. Moshovskyi2.10681141M. Potapov1.6711114113WSep 8 · 17:05M. Potapov1.831111113D. Maltsev1.837770WSep 8 · 16:05M. Potapov2.10115711113I. Pytsko1.6781111772WSep 8 · 14:35M. Potapov1.801311113Y. Tebenko1.9111720LSep 8 · 12:35M. Potapov2.25411571O. Storozhenko1.5711611113
I. Pytsko10
WSep 9 · 11:35I. Pytsko2.25121011123O. Storozhenko1.5710126101LSep 9 · 09:35M. Potapov2.20911115113I. Pytsko1.6111691152WSep 9 · 07:35D. Maltsev2.25411861I. Pytsko1.5711811113WSep 9 · 06:35I. Pytsko1.731211125133I. Fashchevskyi2.001471011112LSep 9 · 05:35Y. Tebenko2.001211113I. Pytsko1.7310450LSep 8 · 18:35Y. Tebenko2.001111163I. Pytsko1.7378140LSep 8 · 17:35O. Storozhenko1.571111711113I. Pytsko2.2588111382LSep 8 · 16:05M. Potapov2.10115711113I. Pytsko1.6781111772WSep 8 · 14:05D. Maltsev2.204111281I. Pytsko1.6111514113WSep 8 · 12:05V. Moshovskyi2.25111110992I. Pytsko1.57891211113
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