TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13111439
Played Sep 11Finished
Yaroslav Tebenko
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 9Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 9
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811711511––––
Volodymyr Korobko
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:33 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeYaroslav Tebenko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingYaroslav Tebenko above · Volodymyr Korobko below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 53 set 3, 5-11 — our read held Yaroslav Tebenko at 54.0%
53 points played in total.
H2H Yaroslav Tebenko 23–22 Volodymyr Korobko Volodymyr Korobko has won 22 of their 45 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:33What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Tebenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
23-22 in 45
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tebenko 1675 vs Korobko 1450
Tebenko
Wrong
both rated, 225 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tebenko 100% vs Korobko 20%
Tebenko
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tebenko 90% vs Korobko 20%
Tebenko
Wrong
70pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Tebenko +5 · Korobko -2
Tebenko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Tebenko) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Korobko form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTebenko 1.73 / Korobko 2.00
Signal prob.57% / 44%
Edge (Tebenko)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13111439
Tebenko1.73
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 9
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite56% won 79 of 142
Up 2–0, closes it94% 32 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it78% 50 of 64
Korobko2.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog36% won 39 of 109
Down 0–1, comes back15% 11 of 72
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 51
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTebenko7wins
AwayKorobko3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderTebenko leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTebenko75%6 of 8
AwayKorobkon = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tebenko8Korobko2n = 10Tebenko took 8 of 10
S2Tebenko6Korobko4n = 10Tebenko took 6 of 10
S3Tebenko4Korobko6n = 10Korobko took 6 of 10
S4Tebenko6Korobko3n = 9Tebenko took 6 of 9
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricTebenkoKorobkoT − KBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match42.938.1+4.8per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTebenkoKorobkoBasisWin rate · lifetime396 / 819 vs 211 / 46848.4%45.1%396 / 819 vs 211 / 468Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.634.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TebenkoTebenko 1.73/Korobko 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.5%
Tebenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Korobko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 5 · 22:30Y. Tebenko4112117472V. Korobko481051111113
WSep 4 · 01:15Y. Tebenko351111133V. Korobko2696110
WAug 25 · 24:30Y. Tebenko4211911113V. Korobko31611771
LAug 20 · 22:45Y. Tebenko381011981V. Korobko4212811113
WAug 10 · 22:30Y. Tebenko591881111113V. Korobko5720119892
WAug 3 · 22:30Y. Tebenko4011117113V. Korobko31791141
WAug 1 · 21:15Y. Tebenko46111112123V. Korobko322614101
LJul 25 · 22:45Y. Tebenko401381091V. Korobko45111112113
WJul 20 · 22:30Y. Tebenko46111212113V. Korobko396141091
WJul 18 · 02:15Y. Tebenko4211119113V. Korobko30921181
Y. Tebenko10
WSep 13 · 24:30Y. Tebenko2.20261111113V. Kovalchuk1.6111115872WSep 12 · 23:00Y. Tebenko2.10151111113R. Novak1.671313771LSep 12 · 21:30Y. Tebenko2.508830O. Rodin1.501111113WSep 12 · 20:00Y. Tebenko1.831111113Y. Parahailo1.837470LSep 12 · 02:15M. Potapov1.80821111113Y. Tebenko1.9111118992WSep 12 · 01:15Y. Tebenko2.2081111113R. Novak1.61114661LSep 12 · 24:15Y. Tebenko2.007570I. Pytsko1.731111113WSep 11 · 20:45Y. Tebenko1.9111513113O. Storozhenko1.807111181WSep 9 · 11:05Y. Tebenko1.671111123I. Fashchevskyi2.1064100WSep 9 · 09:05D. Maltsev1.91511871Y. Tebenko1.8011511113
V. Korobko10
LSep 12 · 02:45V. Korobko1.914570I. Pytsko1.801111113WSep 12 · 24:45M. Potapov1.25115541V. Korobko3.7581111113LSep 11 · 23:45V. Korobko1.8375111172O. Storozhenko1.83111178113LSep 11 · 21:15V. Korobko4.335101151R. Novak1.2011124113LSep 8 · 02:15D. Maltsev1.25119411113V. Korobko3.7541111862WSep 8 · 01:15V. Korobko1.731111113I. Fashchevskyi2.007850LSep 8 · 24:15V. Korobko2.00991111112I. Pytsko1.73111175133LSep 7 · 22:45V. Korobko1.9171111592O. Storozhenko1.80113711113LSep 7 · 20:45V. Korobko4.3371141352M. Potapov1.201171111113LSep 6 · 02:00M. Potapov1.221111113V. Korobko4.005970
Upcoming Matches
Y. Tebenko
V. Korobko
Nothing scheduled
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.