Yaroslav Makovka vs Ivan Fashchevskyi 3-0

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka CupMatch #13128701

Played Sep 14Finished

Yaroslav Makovka

Home

1.80

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Won last 1

Final

3 – 0

Set by set

1181412119––––

Ivan Fashchevskyi

Away

1.91

At publish

Lost last 3

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Lost last 3

The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:13 and never touched — 54.3% is still 54.3%

Graded at full time

Yaroslav Makovka to win

54.3%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.

How it is goingYaroslav Makovka above · Ivan Fashchevskyi below

Set 1 · 11-8

Set 2 · 14-12

Set 3 · 11-9

Point 65 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Yaroslav Makovka at 54.3%

65 points played in total.

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 10:13

What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.80 (51%)

Makovka

Correct

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Makovka 1474 vs Fashchevskyi 1417

Makovka

Correct

both rated, 57 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Makovka 60% vs Fashchevskyi 40%

Makovka

Correct

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Makovka 30% vs Fashchevskyi 40%

—

Too close

10pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Makovka +1 · Fashchevskyi -3

Fashchevskyi

Wrong

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Makovka)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Fashchevskyi form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsMakovka 1.80 / Fashchevskyi 1.91

Signal prob.54% / 46%

Edge (Makovka)+2.5pp

Setka Cup · #13128701

Makovka1.80

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As favourite73% won 11 of 15

Up 2–0, closes it100% 5 of 5

Up 1–0, closes it89% 8 of 9

Fashchevskyi1.91

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Lost last 3

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As underdog44% won 77 of 176

Down 0–1, comes back24% 22 of 90

Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 42

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricMakovkaFashchevskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime143 / 367 vs 286 / 57139%50.1%143 / 367 vs 286 / 571Avg sets wonper match1.72.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.939.0per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Makovka

Makovka 1.80/Fashchevskyi 1.91

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

54%

Makovka · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–0

Makovka won

Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Recent Results

Y. Makovka10