TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13127080
Played Sep 14Finished
Jan Skvrna
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1131113116118––
Tomas Kindl
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:17 and never touched — 56.2% is still 56.2%
Graded at full timeJan Skvrna to win
56.2%
56.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Skvrna above · Tomas Kindl below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 74 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Jan Skvrna at 56.2%
74 points played in total.
H2H Jan Skvrna 8–6 Tomas Kindl Tomas Kindl has won 6 of their 14 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 24:17What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Skvrna
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-6 in 14
Skvrna
Correct
gap of 2 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Skvrna 1695 vs Kindl 1622
Skvrna
Correct
both rated, 72 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skvrna 40% vs Kindl 80%
Kindl
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skvrna 70% vs Kindl 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Skvrna -1 · Kindl +4
Kindl
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Skvrna)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kindl form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkvrna 1.67 / Kindl 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Skvrna)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13127080
Skvrna1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite59% won 225 of 382
Up 2–0, closes it94% 72 of 77
Up 1–0, closes it74% 156 of 210
Kindl2.10
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog43% won 47 of 109
Down 0–1, comes back24% 13 of 54
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSkvrna5wins
AwayKindl5wins
6 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkvrna57.1%4 of 7
AwayKindl66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skvrna7Kindl3n = 10Skvrna took 7 of 10
S2Skvrna2Kindl8n = 10Kindl took 8 of 10
S3Skvrna5Kindl5n = 10split evenly
S4Skvrna5Kindl4n = 9Skvrna took 5 of 9
S5Skvrna3Kindl3n = 6split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSkvrnaKindlS − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match44.244.20.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkvrnaKindlBasisWin rate · lifetime467 / 805 vs 210 / 41058%51.2%467 / 805 vs 210 / 410Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match40.041.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkvrnaSkvrna 1.67/Kindl 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.2%
Skvrna · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Skvrna won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 8 · 09:40J. Skvrna48812101172T. Kindl461110122113
LAug 13 · 21:20J. Skvrna54118111682T. Kindl55711818113
WAug 13 · 18:15J. Skvrna3811511113T. Kindl31411791
LJul 19 · 21:18J. Skvrna246990T. Kindl331111113
WJul 19 · 18:10J. Skvrna41111153113T. Kindl4569111182
WJun 26 · 10:15J. Skvrna46111211123T. Kindl398147101
WJun 23 · 11:40J. Skvrna6211111411153T. Kindl551313124132
LJun 12 · 06:40J. Skvrna381171191T. Kindl4381113113
WJun 8 · 06:45J. Skvrna50128811113T. Kindl47101111872
LMay 21 · 06:40J. Skvrna4111311882T. Kindl48711811113
J. Skvrna10
LSep 13 · 13:05T. Krenek2.001111118123J. Skvrna1.71813611102WSep 13 · 11:40J. Krupnik2.0011811762J. Skvrna1.73711811113WSep 13 · 11:10E. Precek2.25841181J. Skvrna1.5711117113LSep 13 · 10:10J. Skvrna1.801061171T. Krenek1.9112114113LSep 10 · 17:20J. Skvrna1.538970J. Pribyl2.381111113WSep 10 · 15:45B. Moravec1.441061171J. Skvrna2.6312118113WSep 10 · 15:15F. Chaloupka2.20611371J. Skvrna1.6111911113WSep 10 · 14:15J. Skvrna1.6711117143J. Pribyl2.108911121WSep 10 · 12:49T. Grmela2.20117871J. Skvrna1.6131111113WSep 10 · 11:45B. Mrowetz2.0011118682J. Skvrna1.73731111113
T. Kindl10
LSep 14 · 10:45J. Krupnik1.801111113T. Kindl1.917470WSep 10 · 13:15T. Kindl1.44113119173R. Solle2.63411611152WSep 10 · 11:40T. Kindl1.731311113R. Solle2.0011560WSep 10 · 10:40T. Kindl1.831213113L. Dzida1.83101190WSep 10 · 09:40T. Kindl1.5011118113O. Kus2.50981191LSep 8 · 12:35T. Kindl1.67791351D. Jr2.10111111113WSep 8 · 12:10D. Jr2.254990T. Kindl1.571111113LSep 8 · 11:10T. Kindl1.831291191T. Krenek1.83101113113WSep 8 · 09:40J. Skvrna1.61812101172T. Kindl2.201110122113LSep 7 · 13:10T. Kindl1.968890B. Mrowetz1.701111113
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