TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13127084
Played Sep 14Finished
Jan Krupnik
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117114117––––
Tomas Kindl
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:17 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJan Krupnik to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Krupnik above · Tomas Kindl below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 51 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Jan Krupnik at 54.0%
51 points played in total.
H2H Jan Krupnik 17–11 Tomas Kindl Tomas Kindl has won 11 of their 28 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 24:17What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Krupnik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
17-11 in 28
Krupnik
Correct
gap of 6 in 28, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Krupnik 1573 vs Kindl 1613
Kindl
Wrong
both rated, 40 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Krupnik 40% vs Kindl 80%
Kindl
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Krupnik 30% vs Kindl 60%
Kindl
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Krupnik -3 · Kindl -1
Krupnik
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Krupnik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kindl form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrupnik 1.80 / Kindl 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Krupnik)+2.5pp
TT Cup · #13127084
Krupnik1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite56% won 136 of 243
Up 2–0, closes it95% 58 of 61
Up 1–0, closes it73% 93 of 128
Kindl1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog43% won 47 of 109
Down 0–1, comes back24% 13 of 54
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKrupnik8wins
AwayKindl2wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKrupnik leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKrupnik85.7%6 of 7
AwayKindl33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Krupnik7Kindl3n = 10Krupnik took 7 of 10
S2Krupnik4Kindl6n = 10Kindl took 6 of 10
S3Krupnik7Kindl3n = 10Krupnik took 7 of 10
S4Krupnik7Kindl2n = 9Krupnik took 7 of 9
S5Krupnik2Kindl1n = 3Krupnik took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKrupnikKindlKrupnik − KindlBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match41.137.9+3.2per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrupnikKindlBasisWin rate · lifetime452 / 878 vs 210 / 41151.5%51.1%452 / 878 vs 210 / 411Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.241.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrupnikKrupnik 1.80/Kindl 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Krupnik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Krupnik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 1 · 13:10J. Krupnik4061211113T. Kindl321110561
LSep 1 · 11:10J. Krupnik48512111192T. Kindl51111469113
WAug 26 · 16:44J. Krupnik43121181113T. Kindl46106111182
LAug 26 · 15:10J. Krupnik32118581T. Kindl4071111113
WAug 19 · 05:45J. Krupnik331111113T. Kindl248970
WAug 6 · 12:15J. Krupnik42451111113T. Kindl4311118852
WJul 11 · 21:20J. Krupnik4111118113T. Kindl37991181
WJul 11 · 18:15J. Krupnik4612911143T. Kindl3710114121
WJun 22 · 11:40J. Krupnik3811511113T. Kindl25311381
WJun 14 · 13:15J. Krupnik4816912113T. Kindl4414111091
J. Krupnik10
LSep 14 · 09:45J. Krupnik1.8311511772R. Benes1.83411911113LSep 13 · 17:20J. Krupnik1.53131111882D. Jr2.38154411113LSep 13 · 15:40M. Macurak1.7311119113J. Krupnik2.00741141WSep 13 · 15:10D. Jr2.20681161J. Krupnik1.6111116113WSep 13 · 14:10J. Krupnik1.66111112113R. Benes2.05691491LSep 13 · 12:35J. Krupnik2.059911101E. Precek1.6811115123LSep 13 · 11:40J. Krupnik2.0011811762J. Skvrna1.73711811113LSep 13 · 10:40J. Krupnik1.8311116962T. Krenek1.83711111113WSep 13 · 09:40J. Krupnik1.5714117113E. Precek2.251261171LSep 11 · 13:05J. Krupnik1.734950D. Pawlik2.001111113
T. Kindl10
LSep 14 · 10:15J. Skvrna1.67111111113T. Kindl2.10313681WSep 10 · 13:15T. Kindl1.44113119173R. Solle2.63411611152WSep 10 · 11:40T. Kindl1.731311113R. Solle2.0011560WSep 10 · 10:40T. Kindl1.831213113L. Dzida1.83101190WSep 10 · 09:40T. Kindl1.5011118113O. Kus2.50981191LSep 8 · 12:35T. Kindl1.67791351D. Jr2.10111111113WSep 8 · 12:10D. Jr2.254990T. Kindl1.571111113LSep 8 · 11:10T. Kindl1.831291191T. Krenek1.83101113113WSep 8 · 09:40J. Skvrna1.61812101172T. Kindl2.201110122113LSep 7 · 13:10T. Kindl1.968890B. Mrowetz1.701111113
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