TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13123100
Played Sep 13Finished
Jan Krupnik
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
117811118711611
Jan Skvrna
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 02:33 and never touched — 54.1% is still 54.1%
Graded at full timeJan Skvrna to win
54.1%
54.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Krupnik above · Jan Skvrna below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 91 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Jan Skvrna at 54.1%
91 points played in total.
H2H Jan Krupnik 25–32 Jan Skvrna Jan Krupnik has won 25 of their 57 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 02:33What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Skvrna
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
25-32 in 57
Skvrna
Correct
gap of 7 in 57, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Krupnik 1658 vs Skvrna 1681
Skvrna
Correct
both rated, 23 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Krupnik 60% vs Skvrna 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Krupnik 70% vs Skvrna 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Krupnik -1 · Skvrna +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Skvrna)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrupnik 2.00 / Skvrna 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Skvrna)+0.3pp
TT Cup · #13123100
Krupnik2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog49% won 95 of 194
Down 0–1, comes back29% 23 of 80
Down 0–2, comes back8% 3 of 38
Skvrna1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite59% won 223 of 378
Up 2–0, closes it93% 71 of 76
Up 1–0, closes it74% 155 of 209
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKrupnik5wins
AwaySkvrna5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKrupnik60%3 of 5
AwaySkvrna60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Krupnik5Skvrna5n = 10split evenly
S2Krupnik6Skvrna4n = 10Krupnik took 6 of 10
S3Krupnik6Skvrna4n = 10Krupnik took 6 of 10
S4Krupnik3Skvrna6n = 9Skvrna took 6 of 9
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKrupnikSkvrnaK − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.439.40.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrupnikSkvrnaBasisWin rate · lifetime450 / 871 vs 466 / 80351.7%58%450 / 871 vs 466 / 803Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.240.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkvrnaKrupnik 2.00/Skvrna 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Skvrna · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Skvrna won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 4 · 07:40J. Krupnik4181111113J. Skvrna32118491
LAug 16 · 16:44J. Krupnik3911211872J. Skvrna521110911113
WAug 16 · 14:45J. Krupnik47111112133J. Skvrna4113710111
LJul 23 · 13:15J. Krupnik29741171J. Skvrna3711114113
LJul 23 · 10:15J. Krupnik381012881J. Skvrna44121011113
LJul 15 · 11:40J. Krupnik32119841J. Skvrna4181111113
WJul 11 · 16:15J. Krupnik331111113J. Skvrna227960
WJul 8 · 13:10J. Krupnik44111011123J. Skvrna409129101
LJul 8 · 12:10J. Krupnik3711101061J. Skvrna4271212113
WJun 29 · 07:40J. Krupnik5411111110113J. Skvrna4375131262
J. Krupnik10
LSep 13 · 10:40J. Krupnik1.8311116962T. Krenek1.83711111113WSep 13 · 09:40J. Krupnik1.5714117113E. Precek2.251261171LSep 11 · 13:05J. Krupnik1.734950D. Pawlik2.001111113WSep 11 · 11:40M. Macurak1.6161111732J. Krupnik2.20117811113WSep 11 · 11:10D. Pawlik2.101171061J. Krupnik1.6761112113WSep 11 · 10:10J. Krupnik1.91711118113T. Krenek1.8011341152WSep 11 · 08:38J. Krupnik1.8091311113T. Krenek1.911111491WSep 11 · 08:10J. Krupnik2.0016117113T. Krenek1.731441171LSep 11 · 06:40A. Vitasek1.73121311153J. Krupnik2.0014115131WSep 11 · 06:10J. Gembala1.6181181152J. Krupnik2.20119116113
J. Skvrna10
WSep 13 · 11:10E. Precek2.25841181J. Skvrna1.5711117113LSep 13 · 10:10J. Skvrna1.801061171T. Krenek1.9112114113LSep 10 · 17:20J. Skvrna1.538970J. Pribyl2.381111113WSep 10 · 15:45B. Moravec1.441061171J. Skvrna2.6312118113WSep 10 · 15:15F. Chaloupka2.20611371J. Skvrna1.6111911113WSep 10 · 14:15J. Skvrna1.6711117143J. Pribyl2.108911121WSep 10 · 12:49T. Grmela2.20117871J. Skvrna1.6131111113WSep 10 · 11:45B. Mrowetz2.0011118682J. Skvrna1.73731111113LSep 10 · 11:15L. Slavik3.50641111113J. Skvrna1.2811118272LSep 10 · 10:15J. Skvrna1.57117591T. Grmela2.2581111113
Upcoming Matches
J. Krupnik1 of 3 neutral
J. Skvrna
Nothing scheduled
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