TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13121704
Played Sep 13Finished
Jan Skvrna
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1012611114711––
Tomas Krenek
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:29 and never touched — 70.4% is still 70.4%
Graded at full timeJan Skvrna to win
70.4%
70.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJan Skvrna above · Tomas Krenek below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 72 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Jan Skvrna at 70.4%
72 points played in total.
H2H Jan Skvrna 43–33 Tomas Krenek Tomas Krenek has won 33 of their 76 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:29What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Skvrna
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
43-33 in 76
Skvrna
Wrong
gap of 10 in 76, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Skvrna 1680 vs Krenek 1573
Skvrna
Wrong
both rated, 107 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skvrna 80% vs Krenek 60%
Skvrna
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skvrna 70% vs Krenek 30%
Skvrna
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Skvrna -1 · Krenek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Skvrna) · live re-read · sealed at 70% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skvrna form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkvrna 1.80 / Krenek 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Skvrna)+2.5pp
TT Cup · #13121704
Skvrna1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite59% won 223 of 378
Up 2–0, closes it93% 71 of 76
Up 1–0, closes it74% 155 of 209
Krenek1.91
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog53% won 96 of 180
Down 0–1, comes back41% 41 of 101
Down 0–2, comes back11% 4 of 36
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSkvrna6wins
AwayKrenek4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderSkvrna leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkvrna75%6 of 8
AwayKrenekn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skvrna8Krenek2n = 10Skvrna took 8 of 10
S2Skvrna3Krenek7n = 10Krenek took 7 of 10
S3Skvrna2Krenek8n = 10Krenek took 8 of 10
S4Skvrna5Krenek3n = 8Skvrna took 5 of 8
S5Skvrna4Krenek1n = 5Skvrna took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSkvrnaKrenekS − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match41.642.6−1.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkvrnaKrenekBasisWin rate · lifetime465 / 801 vs 456 / 90858.1%50.2%465 / 801 vs 456 / 908Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match40.039.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkvrnaSkvrna 1.80/Krenek 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Skvrna · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Krenek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 8 · 11:40J. Skvrna511171011123T. Krenek50811129102
LSep 6 · 11:45J. Skvrna2578100T. Krenek341111123
WAug 31 · 11:40J. Skvrna551212911113T. Krenek44101411722
WAug 27 · 17:13J. Skvrna45113128113T. Krenek50911101192
WAug 27 · 15:45J. Skvrna4011116123T. Krenek388911101
WAug 25 · 11:40J. Skvrna331111113T. Krenek217950
LAug 16 · 15:45J. Skvrna4611916101T. Krenek5091118123
LAug 15 · 13:10J. Skvrna281141211T. Krenek4481114113
LAug 15 · 10:40J. Skvrna4291151162T. Krenek47119115113
WAug 12 · 06:10J. Skvrna51118813113T. Krenek48811111172
J. Skvrna10
LSep 10 · 17:20J. Skvrna1.538970J. Pribyl2.381111113WSep 10 · 15:45B. Moravec1.441061171J. Skvrna2.6312118113WSep 10 · 15:15F. Chaloupka2.20611371J. Skvrna1.6111911113WSep 10 · 14:15J. Skvrna1.6711117143J. Pribyl2.108911121WSep 10 · 12:49T. Grmela2.20117871J. Skvrna1.6131111113WSep 10 · 11:45B. Mrowetz2.0011118682J. Skvrna1.73731111113LSep 10 · 11:15L. Slavik3.50641111113J. Skvrna1.2811118272LSep 10 · 10:15J. Skvrna1.57117591T. Grmela2.2581111113WSep 9 · 13:10J. Skvrna1.7312411213R. Sedlacek2.0010117191WSep 9 · 11:40J. Skvrna1.7311811133R. Benes2.006119111
T. Krenek10
WSep 13 · 10:40J. Krupnik1.8311116962T. Krenek1.83711111113WSep 13 · 09:10T. Krenek2.1011114113F. Chaloupka1.65471161LSep 13 · 08:10J. Skalicky1.8011814113T. Krenek1.915111221WSep 13 · 07:10T. Krenek1.9113118113F. Chaloupka1.801171171WSep 13 · 05:40J. Gembala1.5712710101T. Krenek2.25101112123LSep 11 · 12:33M. Macurak1.831111116113T. Krenek1.8361381192LSep 11 · 12:10T. Krenek1.737650D. Pawlik2.001111113LSep 11 · 10:40M. Macurak1.8311411113T. Krenek1.83711891LSep 11 · 10:10J. Krupnik1.91711118113T. Krenek1.8011341152LSep 11 · 08:38J. Krupnik1.8091311113T. Krenek1.911111491
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.