TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13121783
Played Sep 13Finished
Jan Gembala
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
121071110121012––
Tomas Krenek
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 10Form at publish
0–10Last 10Lost last 10
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:51 and never touched — 73.0% is still 73.0%
Graded at full timeJan Gembala to win
73.0%
73.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJan Gembala above · Tomas Krenek below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 84 set 4, 10-12 — our read held Jan Gembala at 73.0%
84 points played in total.
H2H Jan Gembala 17–9 Tomas Krenek Tomas Krenek has won 9 of their 26 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:51What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Gembala
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
17-9 in 26
Gembala
Wrong
gap of 8 in 26, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gembala 1701 vs Krenek 1525
Gembala
Wrong
both rated, 176 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gembala 60% vs Krenek 0%
Gembala
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gembala 80% vs Krenek 0%
Gembala
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Gembala -1 · Krenek -5
Krenek
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Gembala) · live re-read · sealed at 73% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krenek form (0%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGembala 1.57 / Krenek 2.25
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Gembala)+4.4pp
TT Cup · #13121783
Gembala1.57
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite56% won 78 of 140
Up 2–0, closes it98% 48 of 49
Up 1–0, closes it79% 62 of 79
Krenek2.25
0%won 0 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 10
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog53% won 96 of 180
Down 0–1, comes back41% 41 of 101
Down 0–2, comes back11% 4 of 36
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGembala7wins
AwayKrenek3wins
Gembala leads 7–3.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGembala87.5%7 of 8
AwayKrenekn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gembala8Krenek2n = 10Gembala took 8 of 10
S2Gembala5Krenek5n = 10split evenly
S3Gembala7Krenek3n = 10Gembala took 7 of 10
S4Gembala3Krenek2n = 5Gembala took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricGembalaKrenekG − KBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match34.931.1+3.8per matchSweeps41+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGembalaKrenekBasisWin rate · lifetime205 / 374 vs 453 / 90454.8%50.1%205 / 374 vs 453 / 904Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.139.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GembalaGembala 1.57/Krenek 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
63.3%
Gembala · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Krenek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 11 · 07:10J. Gembala4211137113T. Krenek387111191
WSep 8 · 06:10J. Gembala341211113T. Krenek2310670
WAug 18 · 13:15J. Gembala331111113T. Krenek214980
WAug 18 · 10:40J. Gembala4211911113T. Krenek32811761
LAug 15 · 10:10J. Gembala209650T. Krenek331111113
WJun 18 · 11:40J. Gembala331111113T. Krenek205960
WJun 17 · 07:40J. Gembala351111133T. Krenek2339110
LJun 3 · 05:40J. Gembala33771181T. Krenek4211119113
WJun 2 · 08:45J. Gembala4413812113T. Krenek3611111041
LJun 2 · 07:10J. Gembala33128851T. Krenek43101111113
J. Gembala10
WSep 13 · 06:40J. Gembala1.7311127113J. Skalicky2.009101171LSep 11 · 09:10J. Gembala2.0075121172A. Vitasek1.731111106113WSep 11 · 07:40A. Vitasek1.73117671J. Gembala2.0081111113WSep 11 · 07:10T. Krenek2.107111191J. Gembala1.6711137113LSep 11 · 06:10J. Gembala1.6181181152J. Krupnik2.20119116113WSep 8 · 09:10J. Gembala1.63911811113M. Macurak2.0611311482WSep 8 · 07:40M. Macurak2.10571191J. Gembala1.6711118113WSep 8 · 07:10D. Jr2.63714991J. Gembala1.44111211113WSep 8 · 06:10J. Gembala1.831211113T. Krenek1.8310670WSep 6 · 09:25J. Gembala1.611111113D. Stusek2.206970
T. Krenek10
LSep 11 · 12:33M. Macurak1.831111116113T. Krenek1.8361381192LSep 11 · 12:10T. Krenek1.737650D. Pawlik2.001111113LSep 11 · 10:40M. Macurak1.8311411113T. Krenek1.83711891LSep 11 · 10:10J. Krupnik1.91711118113T. Krenek1.8011341152LSep 11 · 08:38J. Krupnik1.8091311113T. Krenek1.911111491LSep 11 · 08:10J. Krupnik2.0016117113T. Krenek1.731441171LSep 11 · 07:10T. Krenek2.107111191J. Gembala1.6711137113LSep 11 · 05:40A. Vitasek1.5311117113T. Krenek2.38961181LSep 8 · 13:05T. Krenek1.91124581J. Skvrna1.80101111113LSep 8 · 06:10J. Gembala1.831211113T. Krenek1.8310670
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