TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13123082
Played Sep 13Finished
Jan Krupnik
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
117111611911611
Tomas Krenek
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 02:25 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJan Krupnik to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJan Krupnik above · Tomas Krenek below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-1
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 84 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Jan Krupnik at 54.0%
84 points played in total.
H2H Jan Krupnik 42–39 Tomas Krenek Tomas Krenek has won 39 of their 81 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 02:25What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Krenek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
42-39 in 81
Krupnik
Wrong
gap of 3 in 81, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Krupnik 1662 vs Krenek 1581
Krupnik
Wrong
both rated, 82 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Krupnik 80% vs Krenek 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Krupnik 80% vs Krenek 40%
Krupnik
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Krupnik +1 · Krenek +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Krupnik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krenek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrupnik 1.83 / Krenek 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Krupnik)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13123082
Krupnik1.83
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Krenek1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKrupnik6wins
AwayKrenek4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKrupnik leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKrupnik75%3 of 4
AwayKrenek50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Krupnik4Krenek6n = 10Krenek took 6 of 10
S2Krupnik7Krenek3n = 10Krupnik took 7 of 10
S3Krupnik6Krenek4n = 10Krupnik took 6 of 10
S4Krupnik5Krenek5n = 10split evenly
S5Krupnik2Krenek2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKrupnikKrenekKrupnik − KrenekBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match42.642.9−0.3per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrupnikKrenekBasisWin rate · lifetime450 / 870 vs 457 / 90951.7%50.3%450 / 870 vs 457 / 909Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.239.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrupnikKrupnik 1.83/Krenek 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Krupnik · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Krenek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 11 · 08:38J. Krupnik4491311113T. Krenek351111491
WSep 11 · 08:10J. Krupnik4516117113T. Krenek361441171
WAug 25 · 09:10J. Krupnik49131110153T. Krenek4311712131
LAug 25 · 07:40J. Krupnik45101111852T. Krenek49126911113
WAug 19 · 10:15J. Krupnik44561111113T. Krenek4411119852
LAug 19 · 09:20J. Krupnik4411127952T. Krenek463101111113
LAug 19 · 07:15J. Krupnik30411961T. Krenek4111811113
WAug 18 · 12:10J. Krupnik501213113113T. Krenek51141191162
LAug 16 · 14:15J. Krupnik336411121T. Krenek4511119143
WAug 12 · 12:38J. Krupnik4211811123T. Krenek399119101
J. Krupnik10
WSep 13 · 09:40J. Krupnik1.5714117113E. Precek2.251261171LSep 11 · 13:05J. Krupnik1.734950D. Pawlik2.001111113WSep 11 · 11:40M. Macurak1.6161111732J. Krupnik2.20117811113WSep 11 · 11:10D. Pawlik2.101171061J. Krupnik1.6761112113WSep 11 · 10:10J. Krupnik1.91711118113T. Krenek1.8011341152WSep 11 · 08:38J. Krupnik1.8091311113T. Krenek1.911111491WSep 11 · 08:10J. Krupnik2.0016117113T. Krenek1.731441171LSep 11 · 06:40A. Vitasek1.73121311153J. Krupnik2.0014115131WSep 11 · 06:10J. Gembala1.6181181152J. Krupnik2.20119116113WSep 10 · 09:20D. Pawlik1.832141161J. Krupnik1.8311162113
T. Krenek10
WSep 13 · 10:10J. Skvrna1.801061171T. Krenek1.9112114113WSep 13 · 09:10T. Krenek2.1011114113F. Chaloupka1.65471161LSep 13 · 08:10J. Skalicky1.8011814113T. Krenek1.915111221WSep 13 · 07:10T. Krenek1.9113118113F. Chaloupka1.801171171WSep 13 · 05:40J. Gembala1.5712710101T. Krenek2.25101112123LSep 11 · 12:33M. Macurak1.831111116113T. Krenek1.8361381192LSep 11 · 12:10T. Krenek1.737650D. Pawlik2.001111113LSep 11 · 10:10J. Krupnik1.91711118113T. Krenek1.8011341152LSep 11 · 08:38J. Krupnik1.8091311113T. Krenek1.911111491LSep 11 · 08:10J. Krupnik2.0016117113T. Krenek1.731441171
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