TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13123093
Played Sep 13Finished
Jiri Skalicky
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1158111412112––
Tomas Krenek
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 02:34 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJiri Skalicky to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJiri Skalicky above · Tomas Krenek below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 14-12
Set 4 · 11-2
Point 74 set 4, 11-2 — our read held Jiri Skalicky at 54.0%
74 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Skalicky 3–2 Tomas Krenek Tomas Krenek has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 02:34What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Skalicky
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-2 in 5
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Skalicky 1586 vs Krenek 1557
Skalicky
Correct
both rated, 29 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skalicky 20% vs Krenek 40%
Krenek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skalicky 20% vs Krenek 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Skalicky -2 · Krenek +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Krenek) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krenek form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkalicky 1.80 / Krenek 1.91
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Krenek)+5.5pp
TT Cup · #13123093
Skalicky1.80
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite56% won 37 of 66
Up 2–0, closes it100% 11 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it79% 22 of 28
Krenek1.91
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog53% won 96 of 180
Down 0–1, comes back41% 41 of 101
Down 0–2, comes back11% 4 of 36
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeSkalicky3wins
AwayKrenek2wins
3 of 5 to a deciderSkalicky leads 3–2, and 3 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkalickyn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayKrenek50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skalicky1Krenek4n = 5Krenek took 4 of 5
S2Skalicky3Krenek2n = 5Skalicky took 3 of 5
S3Skalicky3Krenek2n = 5Skalicky took 3 of 5
S4Skalicky1Krenek4n = 5Krenek took 4 of 5
S5Skalicky3Krenek0n = 3Skalicky took 3 of 3
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home360%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away240%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricSkalickyKrenekS − KBasisWins32+1in 5 meetingsFirst set14−3of 5Avg pointsper match43.445.2−1.8per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkalickyKrenekBasisWin rate · lifetime99 / 196 vs 455 / 90650.5%50.2%99 / 196 vs 455 / 906Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.139.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrenekSkalicky 1.80/Krenek 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Krenek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Skalicky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WAug 15 · 06:10J. Skalicky44117123113T. Krenek45511101182
WAug 8 · 17:25J. Skalicky48711114153T. Krenek48116711132
LAug 8 · 15:15J. Skalicky4481111141T. Krenek4911913163
WJul 11 · 15:45J. Skalicky48771211113T. Krenek46111110952
LDec 5 · 21:15J. Skalicky33511981T. Krenek3811511113
J. Skalicky10
LSep 13 · 08:40J. Gembala1.6711611113J. Skalicky2.10611881LSep 13 · 06:40J. Gembala1.7311127113J. Skalicky2.009101171LSep 13 · 06:10F. Chaloupka1.831311510113J. Skalicky1.83117111282WSep 12 · 08:40F. Chaloupka1.919970J. Skalicky1.801111113LSep 12 · 08:10J. Skalicky1.80591161F. Chaloupka1.9111118113LSep 12 · 06:40B. Moravec1.6141111113J. Skalicky2.20117541LSep 12 · 06:10A. Vitasek1.731111113J. Skalicky2.006480LAug 30 · 08:49J. Skalicky1.836124101F. Chaloupka1.83111011123LAug 30 · 08:10J. Skvrna1.67115911113J. Skalicky2.1091111652WAug 30 · 07:10J. Skalicky1.8311119113F. Chaloupka1.83791161
T. Krenek10
WSep 13 · 05:40J. Gembala1.5712710101T. Krenek2.25101112123LSep 11 · 12:33M. Macurak1.831111116113T. Krenek1.8361381192LSep 11 · 12:10T. Krenek1.737650D. Pawlik2.001111113LSep 11 · 10:40M. Macurak1.8311411113T. Krenek1.83711891LSep 11 · 10:10J. Krupnik1.91711118113T. Krenek1.8011341152LSep 11 · 08:38J. Krupnik1.8091311113T. Krenek1.911111491LSep 11 · 08:10J. Krupnik2.0016117113T. Krenek1.731441171LSep 11 · 07:10T. Krenek2.107111191J. Gembala1.6711137113LSep 11 · 05:40A. Vitasek1.5311117113T. Krenek2.38961181LSep 8 · 13:05T. Krenek1.91124581J. Skvrna1.80101111113
Upcoming Matches
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T. Krenek
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