TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13116788
Played Sep 12Finished
Borek Moravec
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
411117115114––
Jiri Skalicky
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:56 and never touched — 59.9% is still 59.9%
Graded at full timeBorek Moravec to win
59.9%
59.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingBorek Moravec above · Jiri Skalicky below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-4
Point 64 set 4, 11-4 — our read held Borek Moravec at 59.9%
64 points played in total.
H2H Borek Moravec 11–3 Jiri Skalicky Jiri Skalicky has won 3 of their 14 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:56What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Moravec
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-3 in 14
Moravec
Correct
gap of 8 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Moravec 1743 vs Skalicky 1613
Moravec
Correct
both rated, 130 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Moravec 60% vs Skalicky 20%
Moravec
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Moravec 50% vs Skalicky 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Moravec +1 · Skalicky -3
Skalicky
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Moravec)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skalicky form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMoravec 1.61 / Skalicky 2.20
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Moravec)+2.4pp
TT Cup · #13116788
Moravec1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite70% won 113 of 161
Up 2–0, closes it100% 52 of 52
Up 1–0, closes it87% 81 of 93
Skalicky2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 19 of 46
Down 0–1, comes back14% 4 of 28
Down 0–2, comes back7% 1 of 15
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMoravec8wins
AwaySkalicky2wins
4 of 10 to a deciderMoravec leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMoravec100%6 of 6
AwaySkalicky50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Moravec6Skalicky4n = 10Moravec took 6 of 10
S2Moravec6Skalicky4n = 10Moravec took 6 of 10
S3Moravec8Skalicky2n = 10Moravec took 8 of 10
S4Moravec4Skalicky3n = 7Moravec took 4 of 7
S5Moravec3Skalicky1n = 4Moravec took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMoravecSkalickyM − SBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match42.335.3+7.0per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMoravecSkalickyBasisWin rate · lifetime258 / 451 vs 98 / 19257.2%51%258 / 451 vs 98 / 192Avg sets wonper match2.32.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.239.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MoravecMoravec 1.61/Skalicky 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.1%
Moravec · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Moravec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 12 · 06:40B. Moravec—41111113J. Skalicky—117541
WAug 30 · 05:40B. Moravec—117119113J. Skalicky—51121172
WAug 15 · 09:10B. Moravec—117511113J. Skalicky—61111992
WAug 15 · 07:40B. Moravec—161111113J. Skalicky—184841
WJul 19 · 07:45B. Moravec—1118133J. Skalicky—516110
WJul 18 · 07:10B. Moravec—1113133J. Skalicky—411110
LJul 5 · 06:10B. Moravec—77111392J. Skalicky—1111811113
LJun 27 · 06:45B. Moravec—991181J. Skalicky—11119113
WJun 20 · 05:45B. Moravec—1111113J. Skalicky—0990
WMay 17 · 06:10B. Moravec—111185123J. Skalicky—351111102
B. Moravec10
LSep 12 · 07:40B. Moravec2.259920A. Vitasek1.571111113WSep 12 · 05:40B. Moravec1.501111113F. Chaloupka2.505380LSep 11 · 17:15F. Chaloupka2.4011118143B. Moravec1.509911121WSep 11 · 15:45B. Moravec1.8011118113J. Pribyl1.91861161WSep 11 · 14:45B. Moravec1.6711211113R. Benes2.10911771LSep 11 · 13:45B. Moravec1.44911681F. Chaloupka2.6311711113LSep 10 · 16:50B. Moravec1.4411741192F. Chaloupka2.63611114113LSep 10 · 15:45B. Moravec1.441061171J. Skvrna2.6312118113LSep 10 · 14:45B. Moravec2.00119911112J. Pribyl1.73611114133WSep 10 · 13:45B. Moravec1.50111195113F. Chaloupka2.5057111162
J. Skalicky10
LSep 12 · 06:10A. Vitasek1.731111113J. Skalicky2.006480LAug 30 · 08:49J. Skalicky1.836124101F. Chaloupka1.83111011123LAug 30 · 08:10J. Skvrna1.67115911113J. Skalicky2.1091111652WAug 30 · 07:10J. Skalicky1.8311119113F. Chaloupka1.83791161LAug 30 · 05:40B. Moravec1.50117119113J. Skalicky2.5051121172WAug 29 · 09:19J. Skalicky1.7312711113A. Cizek2.001011451WAug 29 · 07:45J. Skalicky1.911111113D. Jr1.808480LAug 29 · 06:45J. Skalicky1.61771181A. Cizek2.2011114113WAug 29 · 05:45J. Skalicky1.53561111113D. Pawlik2.3811113782WAug 22 · 21:08J. Krupnik2.50101111892J. Skalicky1.50127811113
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J. Skalicky
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