TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13044895
Played Aug 30Finished
Jan Skvrna
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
119511911116115
Jiri Skalicky
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:46 and never touched — 56.2% is still 56.2%
Graded at full timeJan Skvrna to win
56.2%
56.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Skvrna above · Jiri Skalicky below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 11-5
Point 89 set 5, 11-5 — our read held Jan Skvrna at 56.2%
89 points played in total.
H2H Jan Skvrna 7–4 Jiri Skalicky Jiri Skalicky has won 4 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 23:46What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Skvrna
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-4 in 11
Skvrna
Correct
gap of 3 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Skvrna 1670 vs Skalicky 1630
Skvrna
Correct
both rated, 40 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skvrna 60% vs Skalicky 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skvrna 60% vs Skalicky 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Skvrna -1 · Skalicky -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Skvrna)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skalicky form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkvrna 1.67 / Skalicky 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Skvrna)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13044895
Skvrna1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite58% won 218 of 374
Up 2–0, closes it96% 74 of 77
Up 1–0, closes it73% 154 of 210
Skalicky2.10
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog42% won 19 of 45
Down 0–1, comes back15% 4 of 27
Down 0–2, comes back7% 1 of 15
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSkvrna6wins
AwaySkalicky4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSkvrna leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkvrna71.4%5 of 7
AwaySkalicky66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skvrna7Skalicky3n = 10Skvrna took 7 of 10
S2Skvrna6Skalicky4n = 10Skvrna took 6 of 10
S3Skvrna7Skalicky3n = 10Skvrna took 7 of 10
S4Skvrna4Skalicky4n = 8split evenly
S5Skvrna1Skalicky3n = 4Skalicky took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSkvrnaSkalickySkvrna − SkalickyBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match43.537.3+6.2per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkvrnaSkalickyBasisWin rate · lifetime440 / 759 vs 98 / 18858%52.1%440 / 759 vs 98 / 188Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.939.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkvrnaSkvrna 1.67/Skalicky 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.2%
Skvrna · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Skvrna won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 18 · 06:10J. Skvrna—11117113J. Skalicky—991191
WJul 12 · 15:40J. Skvrna—61111113J. Skalicky—113261
WJul 11 · 16:45J. Skvrna—1111113J. Skalicky—2810
LJul 11 · 14:45J. Skvrna—1113119122J. Skalicky—515811143
LJul 4 · 11:45J. Skvrna—121112782J. Skalicky—1481011113
WJun 20 · 07:15J. Skvrna—111011113J. Skalicky—812481
WJun 7 · 11:40J. Skvrna—119811113J. Skalicky—51111962
WMay 23 · 10:10J. Skvrna—1111143J. Skalicky—84120
LApr 26 · 13:45J. Skvrna—9121191J. Skalicky—11149113
LDec 5 · 22:20J. Skvrna—11136892J. Skalicky—8111111113
J. Skvrna10
LSep 6 · 12:40J. Skvrna1.5711914472E. Precek2.258111211113LSep 6 · 11:45J. Skvrna1.7378100T. Krenek2.001111123LSep 6 · 10:45J. Skvrna1.5731191182L. Slavik2.25114119113WSep 6 · 09:45J. Skvrna1.53131112113E. Precek2.381551071WSep 5 · 13:10M. Macurak1.90891191J. Skvrna1.7411118113WSep 5 · 11:45J. Skvrna1.67111177113J. Krupnik2.1069111152LSep 5 · 10:45J. Skvrna1.6171180M. Macurak2.201113113WSep 5 · 09:45J. Skvrna1.53115129113E. Precek2.38911101192LSep 4 · 17:10D. Skulina1.3611611113J. Skvrna3.00511681WSep 4 · 15:45F. Chaloupka2.201111581J. Skvrna1.6113911113
J. Skalicky10
LAug 30 · 08:49J. Skalicky1.836124101F. Chaloupka1.83111011123WAug 30 · 07:10J. Skalicky1.8311119113F. Chaloupka1.83791161LAug 30 · 05:40B. Moravec1.50117119113J. Skalicky2.5051121172WAug 29 · 09:19J. Skalicky1.7312711113A. Cizek2.001011451WAug 29 · 07:45J. Skalicky1.911111113D. Jr1.808480LAug 29 · 06:45J. Skalicky1.61771181A. Cizek2.2011114113WAug 29 · 05:45J. Skalicky1.53561111113D. Pawlik2.3811113782WAug 22 · 21:08J. Krupnik2.50101111892J. Skalicky1.50127811113WAug 22 · 19:40J. Skalicky1.836111011133F. Chaloupka1.83116129112LAug 22 · 18:40J. Skalicky1.67611111162R. Sedlacek2.10116136113
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