TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12475285
Played Aug 22Finished
Jiri Skalicky
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
61111610121191311
Frantisek Chaloupka
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:46 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeFrantisek Chaloupka to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJiri Skalicky above · Frantisek Chaloupka below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 13-11
Point 100 set 5, 13-11 — our read held Frantisek Chaloupka at 54.0%
100 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Skalicky 7–6 Frantisek Chaloupka Frantisek Chaloupka has won 6 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 11:46What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Chaloupka
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-6 in 13
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Skalicky 1615 vs Chaloupka 1671
Chaloupka
Wrong
both rated, 56 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skalicky 40% vs Chaloupka 20%
Skalicky
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skalicky 40% vs Chaloupka 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Skalicky -1 · Chaloupka -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Skalicky) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chaloupka form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkalicky 1.83 / Chaloupka 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Skalicky)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #12475285
Skalicky1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Chaloupka1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSkalicky6wins
AwayChaloupka4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderSkalicky leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkalicky100%4 of 4
AwayChaloupka66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skalicky4Chaloupka6n = 10Chaloupka took 6 of 10
S2Skalicky6Chaloupka4n = 10Skalicky took 6 of 10
S3Skalicky8Chaloupka2n = 10Skalicky took 8 of 10
S4Skalicky3Chaloupka2n = 5Skalicky took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSkalickyChaloupkaS − CBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match36.131.8+4.3per matchSweeps41+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkalickyChaloupkaBasisWin rate · lifetime92 / 180 vs 241 / 46351.1%52.1%92 / 180 vs 241 / 463Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.239.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkalickySkalicky 1.83/Chaloupka 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Skalicky · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Skalicky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 12 · 13:40J. Skalicky—910111182F. Chaloupka—111256113
WJun 21 · 07:15J. Skalicky—771111113F. Chaloupka—11114452
LMay 17 · 08:40J. Skalicky—971391F. Chaloupka—111111113
LMay 17 · 08:10J. Skalicky—6950F. Chaloupka—1111113
WMay 1 · 20:40J. Skalicky—1211113F. Chaloupka—10790
LMay 1 · 18:40J. Skalicky—411891F. Chaloupka—11711113
WApr 18 · 14:45J. Skalicky—1111113F. Chaloupka—8480
WApr 5 · 12:15J. Skalicky—1111113F. Chaloupka—8890
WFeb 14 · 21:15J. Skalicky—1111133F. Chaloupka—64110
WFeb 13 · 21:15J. Skalicky—71111113F. Chaloupka—113871
J. Skalicky10
LAug 30 · 08:49J. Skalicky1.836124101F. Chaloupka1.83111011123LAug 30 · 08:10J. Skvrna1.67115911113J. Skalicky2.1091111652WAug 30 · 07:10J. Skalicky1.8311119113F. Chaloupka1.83791161LAug 30 · 05:40B. Moravec1.50117119113J. Skalicky2.5051121172WAug 29 · 09:19J. Skalicky1.7312711113A. Cizek2.001011451WAug 29 · 07:45J. Skalicky1.911111113D. Jr1.808480LAug 29 · 06:45J. Skalicky1.61771181A. Cizek2.2011114113WAug 29 · 05:45J. Skalicky1.53561111113D. Pawlik2.3811113782WAug 22 · 21:08J. Krupnik2.50101111892J. Skalicky1.50127811113LAug 22 · 18:40J. Skalicky1.67611111162R. Sedlacek2.10116136113
F. Chaloupka10
LSep 6 · 08:53F. Chaloupka3.0081151172B. Moravec1.36117114113LSep 6 · 08:10F. Chaloupka1.911111711112D. Stusek1.80913119133WSep 6 · 06:40B. Moravec1.4436111172F. Chaloupka2.63111159113LSep 6 · 06:10J. Gembala1.831111113F. Chaloupka1.831880LSep 4 · 16:39F. Chaloupka1.615131291K. Kleprlik2.20111114113LSep 4 · 15:45F. Chaloupka2.201111581J. Skvrna1.6113911113LSep 4 · 14:45F. Chaloupka1.73411148102D. Skulina2.001131211123WSep 4 · 13:45F. Chaloupka1.83111169113K. Kleprlik1.8339111172WAug 30 · 08:49J. Skalicky1.836124101F. Chaloupka1.83111011123LAug 30 · 07:10J. Skalicky1.8311119113F. Chaloupka1.83791161
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