TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13039514
Played Aug 29Finished
Jiri Skalicky
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
711711114811––
Ales Cizek
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 02:51 and never touched — 60.5% is still 60.5%
Graded at full timeJiri Skalicky to win
60.5%
60.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJiri Skalicky above · Ales Cizek below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 70 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Jiri Skalicky at 60.5%
70 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Skalicky 2–2 Ales Cizek Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 02:51What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Skalicky
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-2 in 4
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Skalicky 1637 vs Cizek 1599
Skalicky
Wrong
both rated, 37 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skalicky 80% vs Cizek 40%
Skalicky
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skalicky 50% vs Cizek 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Skalicky +3 · Cizek -1
Skalicky
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Skalicky)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skalicky form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkalicky 1.61 / Cizek 2.20
Signal prob.61% / 40%
Edge (Skalicky)+2.8pp
TT Cup · #13039514
Skalicky1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite55% won 43 of 78
Up 2–0, closes it100% 12 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it77% 26 of 34
Cizek2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog43% won 69 of 162
Down 0–1, comes back18% 16 of 88
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 48
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeSkalicky2wins
AwayCizek2wins
Level at 2–2.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skalicky2Cizek2n = 4split evenly
S2Skalicky1Cizek3n = 4Cizek took 3 of 4
S3Skalicky3Cizek1n = 4Skalicky took 3 of 4
S4Skalicky2Cizek2n = 4split evenly
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home250%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away250%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricSkalickyCizekS − CBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match35.535.8−0.3per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkalickyCizekBasisWin rate · lifetime98 / 190 vs 217 / 44351.6%49%98 / 190 vs 217 / 443Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.338.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkalickySkalicky 1.61/Cizek 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.5%
Skalicky · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Cizek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WAug 29 · 09:19J. Skalicky—12711113A. Cizek—1011451
LAug 29 · 06:45J. Skalicky—771181A. Cizek—11114113
LAug 9 · 14:45J. Skalicky—711631A. Cizek—11611113
WFeb 15 · 15:45J. Skalicky—11811113A. Cizek—811991
J. Skalicky10
LAug 30 · 08:49J. Skalicky1.836124101F. Chaloupka1.83111011123LAug 30 · 08:10J. Skvrna1.67115911113J. Skalicky2.1091111652WAug 30 · 07:10J. Skalicky1.8311119113F. Chaloupka1.83791161LAug 30 · 05:40B. Moravec1.50117119113J. Skalicky2.5051121172WAug 29 · 09:19J. Skalicky1.7312711113A. Cizek2.001011451WAug 29 · 07:45J. Skalicky1.911111113D. Jr1.808480WAug 29 · 05:45J. Skalicky1.53561111113D. Pawlik2.3811113782WAug 22 · 21:08J. Krupnik2.50101111892J. Skalicky1.50127811113WAug 22 · 19:40J. Skalicky1.836111011133F. Chaloupka1.83116129112LAug 22 · 18:40J. Skalicky1.67611111162R. Sedlacek2.10116136113
A. Cizek10
WSep 5 · 20:58K. Kleprlik1.53118581A. Cizek2.3871111113LSep 5 · 19:45K. Kleprlik1.611111113A. Cizek2.208670LSep 5 · 19:15I. Heuman1.73128116183A. Cizek2.001011611162LSep 5 · 18:15A. Cizek1.571010111192T. Lysek2.25121259113LSep 4 · 08:48A. Cizek1.5381341242L. Lasota2.3811111110113WSep 4 · 07:45A. Cizek1.80911711113L. Lasota1.9111611472LSep 4 · 06:45A. Cizek2.001112491T. Kindl1.7381411113WSep 4 · 05:45A. Cizek2.1011611113L. Dzida1.67811851LSep 2 · 20:48D. Skulina1.671311113A. Cizek2.1011480LAug 29 · 09:19J. Skalicky1.7312711113A. Cizek2.001011451
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A. Cizek
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