TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13044904
Played Aug 30Finished
Jiri Skalicky
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
117119911116––
Frantisek Chaloupka
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:46 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJiri Skalicky to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJiri Skalicky above · Frantisek Chaloupka below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 75 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Jiri Skalicky at 54.0%
75 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Skalicky 9–7 Frantisek Chaloupka Frantisek Chaloupka has won 7 of their 16 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 23:46What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Chaloupka
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-7 in 16
Skalicky
Correct
gap of 2 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Skalicky 1637 vs Chaloupka 1674
Chaloupka
Wrong
both rated, 37 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skalicky 60% vs Chaloupka 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skalicky 70% vs Chaloupka 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Skalicky -1 · Chaloupka -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Skalicky)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkalicky 1.83 / Chaloupka 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Skalicky)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13044904
Skalicky1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Chaloupka1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSkalicky5wins
AwayChaloupka5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkalicky100%3 of 3
AwayChaloupka71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skalicky3Chaloupka7n = 10Chaloupka took 7 of 10
S2Skalicky6Chaloupka4n = 10Skalicky took 6 of 10
S3Skalicky5Chaloupka5n = 10split evenly
S4Skalicky4Chaloupka3n = 7Skalicky took 4 of 7
S5Skalicky2Chaloupka1n = 3Skalicky took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSkalickyChaloupkaS − CBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match37.836.9+0.9per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkalickyChaloupkaBasisWin rate · lifetime98 / 190 vs 254 / 48551.6%52.4%98 / 190 vs 254 / 485Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.339.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkalickySkalicky 1.83/Chaloupka 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Skalicky · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Skalicky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 30 · 08:49J. Skalicky—6124101F. Chaloupka—111011123
WAug 30 · 07:10J. Skalicky—11119113F. Chaloupka—791161
WAug 22 · 19:40J. Skalicky—6111011133F. Chaloupka—116129112
LJul 12 · 13:40J. Skalicky—910111182F. Chaloupka—111256113
WJun 21 · 07:15J. Skalicky—771111113F. Chaloupka—11114452
LMay 17 · 08:40J. Skalicky—971391F. Chaloupka—111111113
LMay 17 · 08:10J. Skalicky—6950F. Chaloupka—1111113
WMay 1 · 20:40J. Skalicky—1211113F. Chaloupka—10790
LMay 1 · 18:40J. Skalicky—411891F. Chaloupka—11711113
WApr 18 · 14:45J. Skalicky—1111113F. Chaloupka—8480
J. Skalicky10
LAug 30 · 08:49J. Skalicky1.836124101F. Chaloupka1.83111011123LAug 30 · 08:10J. Skvrna1.67115911113J. Skalicky2.1091111652LAug 30 · 05:40B. Moravec1.50117119113J. Skalicky2.5051121172WAug 29 · 09:19J. Skalicky1.7312711113A. Cizek2.001011451WAug 29 · 07:45J. Skalicky1.911111113D. Jr1.808480LAug 29 · 06:45J. Skalicky1.61771181A. Cizek2.2011114113WAug 29 · 05:45J. Skalicky1.53561111113D. Pawlik2.3811113782WAug 22 · 21:08J. Krupnik2.50101111892J. Skalicky1.50127811113WAug 22 · 19:40J. Skalicky1.836111011133F. Chaloupka1.83116129112LAug 22 · 18:40J. Skalicky1.67611111162R. Sedlacek2.10116136113
F. Chaloupka10
LSep 6 · 08:53F. Chaloupka3.0081151172B. Moravec1.36117114113LSep 6 · 08:10F. Chaloupka1.911111711112D. Stusek1.80913119133WSep 6 · 06:40B. Moravec1.4436111172F. Chaloupka2.63111159113LSep 6 · 06:10J. Gembala1.831111113F. Chaloupka1.831880LSep 4 · 16:39F. Chaloupka1.615131291K. Kleprlik2.20111114113LSep 4 · 15:45F. Chaloupka2.201111581J. Skvrna1.6113911113LSep 4 · 14:45F. Chaloupka1.73411148102D. Skulina2.001131211123WSep 4 · 13:45F. Chaloupka1.83111169113K. Kleprlik1.8339111172WAug 30 · 08:49J. Skalicky1.836124101F. Chaloupka1.83111011123LAug 22 · 19:40J. Skalicky1.836111011133F. Chaloupka1.83116129112
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