TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13039529
Played Aug 29Finished
Jiri Skalicky
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118114118––––
Dalibor Velky Jr
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 02:48 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJiri Skalicky to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJiri Skalicky above · Dalibor Velky Jr below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 53 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Jiri Skalicky at 54.0%
53 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Skalicky 1–1 Dalibor Velky Jr Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 02:48What took a side0 for · 4 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Jr
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Skalicky 1637 vs Jr 1683
Jr
Wrong
both rated, 46 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skalicky 60% vs Jr 80%
Jr
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skalicky 50% vs Jr 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Skalicky -1 · Jr +3
Jr
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Jr) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jr form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkalicky 1.91 / Jr 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Jr)+2.5pp
TT Cup · #13039529
Skalicky1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog40% won 19 of 47
Down 0–1, comes back14% 4 of 29
Down 0–2, comes back7% 1 of 15
Jr1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite47% won 81 of 174
Up 2–0, closes it88% 36 of 41
Up 1–0, closes it66% 59 of 89
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeSkalicky1wins
AwayJr1wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricSkalickyJrS − JBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match38.034.0+4.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkalickyJrBasisWin rate · lifetime98 / 190 vs 246 / 48351.6%50.9%98 / 190 vs 246 / 483Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.339.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JrSkalicky 1.91/Jr 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Jr · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Skalicky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WAug 29 · 07:45J. Skalicky—1111113D. Jr—8480
LMar 14 · 18:40J. Skalicky—51411762D. Jr—1112311113
J. Skalicky10
LAug 30 · 08:49J. Skalicky1.836124101F. Chaloupka1.83111011123LAug 30 · 08:10J. Skvrna1.67115911113J. Skalicky2.1091111652WAug 30 · 07:10J. Skalicky1.8311119113F. Chaloupka1.83791161LAug 30 · 05:40B. Moravec1.50117119113J. Skalicky2.5051121172WAug 29 · 09:19J. Skalicky1.7312711113A. Cizek2.001011451LAug 29 · 06:45J. Skalicky1.61771181A. Cizek2.2011114113WAug 29 · 05:45J. Skalicky1.53561111113D. Pawlik2.3811113782WAug 22 · 21:08J. Krupnik2.50101111892J. Skalicky1.50127811113WAug 22 · 19:40J. Skalicky1.836111011133F. Chaloupka1.83116129112LAug 22 · 18:40J. Skalicky1.67611111162R. Sedlacek2.10116136113
D. Jr10
LSep 6 · 09:20D. Jr1.987590T. Krenek1.731111113WSep 6 · 08:15D. Pawlik2.001251431D. Jr1.73141112113WSep 6 · 07:15D. Jr2.101111113L. Slavik1.678390LSep 6 · 05:45T. Krenek1.731111811123D. Jr2.00951113102LSep 4 · 12:40D. Jr1.4499100J. Przybyla2.631111123WSep 4 · 12:10D. Jr1.801311113J. Przybyla1.9111980LSep 4 · 10:40R. Sedlacek1.801111113D. Jr1.918890LSep 4 · 10:10J. Krupnik1.5711116113D. Jr2.25851181WSep 4 · 08:40J. Skvrna1.5776100D. Jr2.251111123LSep 4 · 08:10M. Macurak1.8051111113D. Jr1.91116471
Upcoming Matches
J. Skalicky
Nothing scheduled
D. Jr
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