TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12475284
Played Aug 22Finished
Jiri Skalicky
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
6111161113116611
Radek Sedlacek
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:48 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeJiri Skalicky to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJiri Skalicky above · Radek Sedlacek below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 92 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Jiri Skalicky at 55.8%
92 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Skalicky 2–1 Radek Sedlacek Radek Sedlacek has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 11:48What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Skalicky
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Skalicky 1623 vs Sedlacek 1679
Sedlacek
Correct
both rated, 56 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skalicky 40% vs Sedlacek 60%
Sedlacek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skalicky 40% vs Sedlacek 70%
Sedlacek
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Skalicky +2 · Sedlacek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Skalicky)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sedlacek form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkalicky 1.67 / Sedlacek 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Skalicky)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #12475284
Skalicky1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite54% won 38 of 70
Up 2–0, closes it100% 11 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it73% 22 of 30
Sedlacek2.10
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog44% won 30 of 68
Down 0–1, comes back31% 13 of 42
Down 0–2, comes back11% 2 of 18
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeSkalicky2wins
AwaySedlacek1wins
1 of 3 to a deciderSkalicky leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skalicky1Sedlacek2n = 3Sedlacek took 2 of 3
S2Skalicky1Sedlacek2n = 3Sedlacek took 2 of 3
S3Skalicky3Sedlacek0n = 3Skalicky took 3 of 3
S4Skalicky1Sedlacek2n = 3Sedlacek took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricSkalickySedlacekSkalicky − SedlacekBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match36.338.7−2.4per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkalickySedlacekBasisWin rate · lifetime92 / 179 vs 126 / 26751.4%47.2%92 / 179 vs 126 / 267Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.238.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkalickySkalicky 1.67/Sedlacek 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.8%
Skalicky · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Sedlacek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LDec 21 · 07:15J. Skalicky—561131R. Sedlacek—11115113
WDec 12 · 22:05J. Skalicky—117114113R. Sedlacek—51171172
WDec 12 · 19:15J. Skalicky—51212113R. Sedlacek—11101061
J. Skalicky10
LAug 30 · 08:49J. Skalicky1.836124101F. Chaloupka1.83111011123LAug 30 · 08:10J. Skvrna1.67115911113J. Skalicky2.1091111652WAug 30 · 07:10J. Skalicky1.8311119113F. Chaloupka1.83791161LAug 30 · 05:40B. Moravec1.50117119113J. Skalicky2.5051121172WAug 29 · 09:19J. Skalicky1.7312711113A. Cizek2.001011451WAug 29 · 07:45J. Skalicky1.911111113D. Jr1.808480LAug 29 · 06:45J. Skalicky1.61771181A. Cizek2.2011114113WAug 29 · 05:45J. Skalicky1.53561111113D. Pawlik2.3811113782WAug 22 · 21:08J. Krupnik2.50101111892J. Skalicky1.50127811113WAug 22 · 19:40J. Skalicky1.836111011133F. Chaloupka1.83116129112
R. Sedlacek10
LSep 4 · 13:10R. Sedlacek1.83931151J. Krupnik1.8311119113WSep 4 · 11:40R. Sedlacek1.9112143113J. Krupnik1.8010121141WSep 4 · 10:40R. Sedlacek1.801111113D. Jr1.918890WSep 4 · 09:40R. Sedlacek1.44911911113J. Przybyla2.6311911972LSep 2 · 12:45B. Mrowetz1.67811118113R. Sedlacek2.1011681192WSep 2 · 11:45R. Sedlacek2.0091311123T. Krenek1.7311115101LSep 2 · 10:45R. Sedlacek1.91871191R. Benes1.8011116113LSep 2 · 09:45R. Sedlacek1.833560B. Mrowetz1.831111113LSep 1 · 12:45B. Mrowetz1.731111113R. Sedlacek2.006970LSep 1 · 12:15B. Mrowetz2.00117115133R. Sedlacek1.73311711112
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