TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13113806
Played Sep 11Finished
Borek Moravec
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911117611811––
Frantisek Chaloupka
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:53 and never touched — 61.3% is still 61.3%
Graded at full timeBorek Moravec to win
61.3%
61.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingBorek Moravec above · Frantisek Chaloupka below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 74 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Borek Moravec at 61.3%
74 points played in total.
H2H Borek Moravec 36–20 Frantisek Chaloupka Frantisek Chaloupka has won 20 of their 56 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 07:53What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Moravec
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
36-20 in 56
Moravec
Wrong
gap of 16 in 56, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Moravec 1715 vs Chaloupka 1588
Moravec
Wrong
both rated, 127 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Moravec 40% vs Chaloupka 20%
Moravec
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Moravec 40% vs Chaloupka 20%
Moravec
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Moravec -3 · Chaloupka +1
Moravec
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Moravec) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chaloupka form (20%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMoravec 1.44 / Chaloupka 2.63
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Moravec)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13113806
Moravec1.44
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite71% won 111 of 157
Up 2–0, closes it100% 51 of 51
Up 1–0, closes it87% 79 of 91
Chaloupka2.63
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog45% won 53 of 117
Down 0–1, comes back30% 19 of 64
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 29
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMoravec8wins
AwayChaloupka2wins
6 of 10 to a deciderMoravec leads 8–2, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMoravec85.7%6 of 7
AwayChaloupka33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Moravec7Chaloupka3n = 10Moravec took 7 of 10
S2Moravec4Chaloupka6n = 10Chaloupka took 6 of 10
S3Moravec6Chaloupka4n = 10Moravec took 6 of 10
S4Moravec7Chaloupka2n = 9Moravec took 7 of 9
S5Moravec4Chaloupka2n = 6Moravec took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMoravecChaloupkaM − CBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match43.439.5+3.9per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMoravecChaloupkaBasisWin rate · lifetime254 / 445 vs 259 / 50157.1%51.7%254 / 445 vs 259 / 501Avg sets wonper match2.32.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.239.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MoravecMoravec 1.44/Chaloupka 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
65.7%
Moravec · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Chaloupka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 10 · 16:50B. Moravec—11741192F. Chaloupka—611114113
WSep 10 · 13:45B. Moravec—111195113F. Chaloupka—57111162
WSep 6 · 08:53B. Moravec—117114113F. Chaloupka—81151172
LSep 6 · 06:40B. Moravec—36111172F. Chaloupka—111159113
WAug 30 · 07:40B. Moravec—831112113F. Chaloupka—111181032
WAug 21 · 15:40B. Moravec—711811113F. Chaloupka—11711782
WAug 16 · 06:40B. Moravec—111112113F. Chaloupka—961491
WAug 13 · 13:40B. Moravec—111211113F. Chaloupka—814751
WAug 8 · 07:40B. Moravec—11912113F. Chaloupka—8111091
WAug 7 · 17:10B. Moravec—1511113F. Chaloupka—13580
B. Moravec10
LSep 10 · 16:50B. Moravec1.4411741192F. Chaloupka2.63611114113LSep 10 · 15:45B. Moravec1.441061171J. Skvrna2.6312118113LSep 10 · 14:45B. Moravec2.00119911112J. Pribyl1.73611114133WSep 10 · 13:45B. Moravec1.50111195113F. Chaloupka2.5057111162WSep 6 · 08:53F. Chaloupka3.0081151172B. Moravec1.36117114113LSep 6 · 07:40B. Moravec1.80611761J. Gembala1.9111211113LSep 6 · 06:40B. Moravec1.4436111172F. Chaloupka2.63111159113LSep 6 · 05:40B. Moravec1.806950D. Stusek1.911111113WAug 30 · 09:19B. Moravec1.44119911113J. Skvrna2.6361111462WAug 30 · 07:40B. Moravec1.44831112113F. Chaloupka2.63111181032
F. Chaloupka10
WSep 10 · 16:50B. Moravec1.4411741192F. Chaloupka2.63611114113LSep 10 · 16:15J. Pribyl1.36121111123F. Chaloupka3.0010134101LSep 10 · 15:15F. Chaloupka2.20611371J. Skvrna1.6111911113LSep 10 · 13:45B. Moravec1.50111195113F. Chaloupka2.5057111162LSep 6 · 08:53F. Chaloupka3.0081151172B. Moravec1.36117114113LSep 6 · 08:10F. Chaloupka1.911111711112D. Stusek1.80913119133WSep 6 · 06:40B. Moravec1.4436111172F. Chaloupka2.63111159113LSep 6 · 06:10J. Gembala1.831111113F. Chaloupka1.831880LSep 4 · 16:39F. Chaloupka1.615131291K. Kleprlik2.20111114113LAug 30 · 07:40B. Moravec1.44831112113F. Chaloupka2.63111181032
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