TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13116791
Played Sep 12Finished
Adam Vitasek
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116114118––––
Jiri Skalicky
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:57 and never touched — 57.5% is still 57.5%
Graded at full timeAdam Vitasek to win
57.5%
57.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAdam Vitasek above · Jiri Skalicky below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 51 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Adam Vitasek at 57.5%
51 points played in total.
H2H Adam Vitasek 1–0 Jiri Skalicky Jiri Skalicky has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:57What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Vitasek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Vitasek 1621 vs Skalicky 1590
Vitasek
Correct
both rated, 30 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vitasek 80% vs Skalicky 40%
Vitasek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vitasek 50% vs Skalicky 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vitasek +1 · Skalicky -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vitasek) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vitasek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVitasek 1.73 / Skalicky 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Vitasek)+0.3pp
TT Cup · #13116791
Vitasek1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite46% won 12 of 26
Up 2–0, closes it100% 6 of 6
Up 1–0, closes it60% 9 of 15
Skalicky2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 19 of 46
Down 0–1, comes back14% 4 of 28
Down 0–2, comes back7% 1 of 15
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeVitasek1wins
AwaySkalicky0wins
Vitasek leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricVitasekSkalickyV − SBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match33.018.0+15.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVitasekSkalickyBasisWin rate · lifetime39 / 80 vs 98 / 19348.8%50.8%39 / 80 vs 98 / 193Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.639.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VitasekVitasek 1.73/Skalicky 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Vitasek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Vitasek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 12 · 06:10A. Vitasek—1111113J. Skalicky—6480
A. Vitasek10
WSep 12 · 07:40B. Moravec2.259920A. Vitasek1.571111113WSep 12 · 07:10F. Chaloupka2.3861191162A. Vitasek1.53117117113WSep 11 · 09:10J. Gembala2.0075121172A. Vitasek1.731111106113LSep 11 · 07:40A. Vitasek1.73117671J. Gembala2.0081111113WSep 11 · 06:40A. Vitasek1.73121311153J. Krupnik2.0014115131WSep 11 · 05:40A. Vitasek1.5311117113T. Krenek2.38961181WAug 26 · 20:45R. Kowal1.531111641A. Vitasek2.3813811113LAug 26 · 20:15R. Kowal1.8391111113A. Vitasek1.83116861LAug 26 · 19:15A. Vitasek1.8011712101A. Baros1.9181114123LAug 26 · 17:45R. Niezgoda1.5013128113A. Vitasek2.5011101191
J. Skalicky10
LSep 12 · 08:10J. Skalicky1.80591161F. Chaloupka1.9111118113LSep 12 · 06:40B. Moravec1.6141111113J. Skalicky2.20117541LAug 30 · 08:49J. Skalicky1.836124101F. Chaloupka1.83111011123LAug 30 · 08:10J. Skvrna1.67115911113J. Skalicky2.1091111652WAug 30 · 07:10J. Skalicky1.8311119113F. Chaloupka1.83791161LAug 30 · 05:40B. Moravec1.50117119113J. Skalicky2.5051121172WAug 29 · 09:19J. Skalicky1.7312711113A. Cizek2.001011451WAug 29 · 07:45J. Skalicky1.911111113D. Jr1.808480LAug 29 · 06:45J. Skalicky1.61771181A. Cizek2.2011114113WAug 29 · 05:45J. Skalicky1.53561111113D. Pawlik2.3811113782
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