TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13117690
Played Sep 12Finished
Borek Moravec
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911911211––––
Adam Vitasek
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:44 and never touched — 62.5% is still 62.5%
Graded at full timeAdam Vitasek to win
62.5%
62.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingBorek Moravec above · Adam Vitasek below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 2-11
Point 53 set 3, 2-11 — our read held Adam Vitasek at 62.5%
53 points played in total.
H2H Borek Moravec 0–1 Adam Vitasek Borek Moravec has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:44What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Vitasek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Moravec 1723 vs Vitasek 1621
Moravec
Wrong
both rated, 102 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Moravec 80% vs Vitasek 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Moravec 50% vs Vitasek 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Moravec +2 · Vitasek +3
Vitasek
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Vitasek) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vitasek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMoravec 2.25 / Vitasek 1.57
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Vitasek)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #13117690
Moravec2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog51% won 45 of 88
Down 0–1, comes back37% 19 of 52
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 28
Vitasek1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite46% won 12 of 26
Up 2–0, closes it100% 6 of 6
Up 1–0, closes it60% 9 of 15
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeMoravec0wins
AwayVitasek1wins
Vitasek leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricMoravecVitasekM − VBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match20.033.0−13.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMoravecVitasekBasisWin rate · lifetime258 / 452 vs 39 / 8057.1%48.8%258 / 452 vs 39 / 80Avg sets wonper match2.31.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.237.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VitasekMoravec 2.25/Vitasek 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.9%
Vitasek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Vitasek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 12 · 07:40B. Moravec—9920A. Vitasek—1111113
B. Moravec10
WSep 12 · 06:40B. Moravec1.6141111113J. Skalicky2.20117541WSep 12 · 05:40B. Moravec1.501111113F. Chaloupka2.505380LSep 11 · 17:15F. Chaloupka2.4011118143B. Moravec1.509911121WSep 11 · 15:45B. Moravec1.8011118113J. Pribyl1.91861161WSep 11 · 14:45B. Moravec1.6711211113R. Benes2.10911771LSep 11 · 13:45B. Moravec1.44911681F. Chaloupka2.6311711113LSep 10 · 16:50B. Moravec1.4411741192F. Chaloupka2.63611114113LSep 10 · 15:45B. Moravec1.441061171J. Skvrna2.6312118113LSep 10 · 14:45B. Moravec2.00119911112J. Pribyl1.73611114133WSep 10 · 13:45B. Moravec1.50111195113F. Chaloupka2.5057111162
A. Vitasek10
WSep 12 · 07:10F. Chaloupka2.3861191162A. Vitasek1.53117117113WSep 12 · 06:10A. Vitasek1.731111113J. Skalicky2.006480WSep 11 · 09:10J. Gembala2.0075121172A. Vitasek1.731111106113LSep 11 · 07:40A. Vitasek1.73117671J. Gembala2.0081111113WSep 11 · 06:40A. Vitasek1.73121311153J. Krupnik2.0014115131WSep 11 · 05:40A. Vitasek1.5311117113T. Krenek2.38961181WAug 26 · 20:45R. Kowal1.531111641A. Vitasek2.3813811113LAug 26 · 20:15R. Kowal1.8391111113A. Vitasek1.83116861LAug 26 · 19:15A. Vitasek1.8011712101A. Baros1.9181114123LAug 26 · 17:45R. Niezgoda1.5013128113A. Vitasek2.5011101191
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.