TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13117671
Played Sep 12Finished
Frantisek Chaloupka
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
611117911117611
Adam Vitasek
Away
1.53
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:44 and never touched — 60.8% is still 60.8%
Graded at full timeAdam Vitasek to win
60.8%
60.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingFrantisek Chaloupka above · Adam Vitasek below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 90 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Adam Vitasek at 60.8%
90 points played in total.
H2H Frantisek Chaloupka 0–1 Adam Vitasek Frantisek Chaloupka has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:44What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Vitasek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Chaloupka 1600 vs Vitasek 1621
Vitasek
Correct
both rated, 20 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Chaloupka 40% vs Vitasek 80%
Vitasek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Chaloupka 70% vs Vitasek 50%
Chaloupka
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Chaloupka -2 · Vitasek +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Vitasek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vitasek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChaloupka 2.38 / Vitasek 1.53
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Vitasek)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #13117671
Chaloupka2.38
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog47% won 56 of 120
Down 0–1, comes back30% 19 of 64
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 29
Vitasek1.53
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite46% won 12 of 26
Up 2–0, closes it100% 6 of 6
Up 1–0, closes it60% 9 of 15
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeChaloupka0wins
AwayVitasek1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderVitasek leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricChaloupkaVitasekC − VBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match43.047.0−4.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChaloupkaVitasekBasisWin rate · lifetime265 / 511 vs 39 / 8051.9%48.8%265 / 511 vs 39 / 80Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.537.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VitasekChaloupka 2.38/Vitasek 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.8%
Vitasek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Vitasek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 12 · 07:10F. Chaloupka—61191162A. Vitasek—117117113
F. Chaloupka10
LSep 12 · 05:40B. Moravec1.501111113F. Chaloupka2.505380LSep 11 · 21:19F. Chaloupka1.678980D. Skulina2.101111113WSep 11 · 19:45D. Skulina2.3811771412F. Chaloupka1.537111112113WSep 11 · 19:15I. Heuman2.0051121132F. Chaloupka1.73116117113LSep 11 · 18:15F. Chaloupka1.67611971K. Kleprlik2.1011911113WSep 11 · 17:15F. Chaloupka2.4011118143B. Moravec1.509911121WSep 11 · 16:15R. Benes2.2588110F. Chaloupka1.571111133WSep 11 · 15:15F. Chaloupka2.7511119113J. Pribyl1.40551151WSep 11 · 13:45B. Moravec1.44911681F. Chaloupka2.6311711113WSep 10 · 16:50B. Moravec1.4411741192F. Chaloupka2.63611114113
A. Vitasek10
WSep 12 · 07:40B. Moravec2.259920A. Vitasek1.571111113WSep 12 · 06:10A. Vitasek1.731111113J. Skalicky2.006480WSep 11 · 09:10J. Gembala2.0075121172A. Vitasek1.731111106113LSep 11 · 07:40A. Vitasek1.73117671J. Gembala2.0081111113WSep 11 · 06:40A. Vitasek1.73121311153J. Krupnik2.0014115131WSep 11 · 05:40A. Vitasek1.5311117113T. Krenek2.38961181WAug 26 · 20:45R. Kowal1.531111641A. Vitasek2.3813811113LAug 26 · 20:15R. Kowal1.8391111113A. Vitasek1.83116861LAug 26 · 19:15A. Vitasek1.8011712101A. Baros1.9181114123LAug 26 · 17:45R. Niezgoda1.5013128113A. Vitasek2.5011101191
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