TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13114118
Played Sep 11Finished
Frantisek Chaloupka
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 5
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
611119911711––
Kamil Kleprlik
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:25 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeFrantisek Chaloupka to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingFrantisek Chaloupka above · Kamil Kleprlik below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 7-10
Point 74 set 4, 7-10 — our read held Frantisek Chaloupka at 55.8%
74 points drawn · the score is 1 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Frantisek Chaloupka 35–32 Kamil Kleprlik Kamil Kleprlik has won 32 of their 67 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:25What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Chaloupka
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
35-32 in 67
Chaloupka
Wrong
gap of 3 in 67, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Chaloupka 1641 vs Kleprlik 1583
Chaloupka
Wrong
both rated, 58 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Chaloupka 100% vs Kleprlik 40%
Chaloupka
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Chaloupka 50% vs Kleprlik 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Chaloupka +5 · Kleprlik -1
Chaloupka
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Chaloupka) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chaloupka form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChaloupka 1.67 / Kleprlik 2.10
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Chaloupka)+0.8pp
TT Cup · #13114118
Chaloupka1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite55% won 105 of 192
Up 2–0, closes it96% 71 of 74
Up 1–0, closes it74% 91 of 123
Kleprlik2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As underdog47% won 72 of 153
Down 0–1, comes back26% 23 of 89
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 43
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeChaloupka5wins
AwayKleprlik5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeChaloupka100%4 of 4
AwayKleprlik83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Chaloupka4Kleprlik6n = 10Kleprlik took 6 of 10
S2Chaloupka7Kleprlik3n = 10Chaloupka took 7 of 10
S3Chaloupka5Kleprlik5n = 10split evenly
S4Chaloupka3Kleprlik7n = 10Kleprlik took 7 of 10
S5Chaloupka3Kleprlik2n = 5Chaloupka took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricChaloupkaKleprlikC − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match43.443.9−0.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChaloupkaKleprlikBasisWin rate · lifetime263 / 505 vs 247 / 50152.1%49.3%263 / 505 vs 247 / 501Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.539.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChaloupkaChaloupka 1.67/Kleprlik 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.6%
Chaloupka · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kleprlik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 4 · 16:39F. Chaloupka—5131291K. Kleprlik—111114113
WSep 4 · 13:45F. Chaloupka—111169113K. Kleprlik—39111172
WAug 12 · 16:10F. Chaloupka—118411113K. Kleprlik—91111992
LAug 9 · 16:45F. Chaloupka—811981K. Kleprlik—11911113
WAug 9 · 16:10F. Chaloupka—11911113K. Kleprlik—711471
WAug 8 · 08:43F. Chaloupka—11118113K. Kleprlik—861191
LAug 8 · 05:40F. Chaloupka—41213101K. Kleprlik—111411123
WAug 7 · 13:40F. Chaloupka—811158113K. Kleprlik—116131182
LAug 5 · 13:45F. Chaloupka—51111792K. Kleprlik—118711113
LAug 3 · 13:40F. Chaloupka—911121152K. Kleprlik—1171013113
F. Chaloupka10
WSep 11 · 17:15F. Chaloupka2.4011118143B. Moravec1.509911121WSep 11 · 16:15R. Benes2.2588110F. Chaloupka1.571111133WSep 11 · 15:15F. Chaloupka2.7511119113J. Pribyl1.40551151WSep 11 · 13:45B. Moravec1.44911681F. Chaloupka2.6311711113WSep 10 · 16:50B. Moravec1.4411741192F. Chaloupka2.63611114113LSep 10 · 16:15J. Pribyl1.36121111123F. Chaloupka3.0010134101LSep 10 · 15:15F. Chaloupka2.20611371J. Skvrna1.6111911113LSep 10 · 13:45B. Moravec1.50111195113F. Chaloupka2.5057111162LSep 6 · 08:53F. Chaloupka3.0081151172B. Moravec1.36117114113LSep 6 · 08:10F. Chaloupka1.911111711112D. Stusek1.80913119133
K. Kleprlik10
LSep 11 · 18:45D. Skulina1.57111211113K. Kleprlik2.25814641LSep 5 · 20:58K. Kleprlik1.53118581A. Cizek2.3871111113WSep 5 · 19:45K. Kleprlik1.611111113A. Cizek2.208670WSep 5 · 18:45K. Kleprlik1.53111176133T. Lysek2.38571111112LSep 5 · 17:45K. Kleprlik2.006131291I. Heuman1.73111114113LSep 4 · 21:10D. Skulina1.5761111153K. Kleprlik2.251177131WSep 4 · 20:15K. Kleprlik1.671111113J. Travnicek2.108590WSep 4 · 18:45I. Heuman1.809111410122K. Kleprlik1.911141212143LSep 4 · 18:15D. Skulina1.6161114113K. Kleprlik2.201141291WSep 4 · 16:39F. Chaloupka1.615131291K. Kleprlik2.20111114113
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