TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13114127
Played Sep 11Finished
David Skulina
Home
2.38
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1177117111412111
Frantisek Chaloupka
Away
1.53
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:24 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeFrantisek Chaloupka to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDavid Skulina above · Frantisek Chaloupka below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 14-12
Set 5 · 1-11
Point 92 set 5, 1-11 — our read held Frantisek Chaloupka at 54.0%
92 points played in total.
H2H David Skulina 3–5 Frantisek Chaloupka David Skulina has won 3 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:24What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Chaloupka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-5 in 8
Chaloupka
Correct
gap of 2 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Skulina 1666 vs Chaloupka 1623
Skulina
Wrong
both rated, 43 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skulina 60% vs Chaloupka 80%
Chaloupka
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skulina 70% vs Chaloupka 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Skulina +2 · Chaloupka +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Chaloupka) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chaloupka form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkulina 2.38 / Chaloupka 1.53
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Chaloupka)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13114127
Skulina2.38
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog53% won 20 of 38
Down 0–1, comes back26% 5 of 19
Down 0–2, comes back8% 1 of 12
Chaloupka1.53
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite55% won 105 of 192
Up 2–0, closes it96% 71 of 74
Up 1–0, closes it74% 91 of 123
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeSkulina3wins
AwayChaloupka5wins
3 of 8 to a deciderChaloupka leads 5–3, and 3 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkulinan = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayChaloupka66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skulina2Chaloupka6n = 8Chaloupka took 6 of 8
S2Skulina3Chaloupka5n = 8Chaloupka took 5 of 8
S3Skulina4Chaloupka4n = 8split evenly
S4Skulina3Chaloupka4n = 7Chaloupka took 4 of 7
S5Skulina2Chaloupka1n = 3Skulina took 2 of 3
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home113%
3–2Decider, home225%
2–3Decider, away113%
1–3Four sets, away338%
0–3Straight, away113%
These 8 meetings
MetricSkulinaChaloupkaS − CBasisWins35−2in 8 meetingsFirst set26−4of 8Avg pointsper match38.841.6−2.8per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkulinaChaloupkaBasisWin rate · lifetime80 / 155 vs 264 / 50751.6%52.1%80 / 155 vs 264 / 507Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.539.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChaloupkaSkulina 2.38/Chaloupka 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.2%
Chaloupka · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Chaloupka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WSep 4 · 14:45D. Skulina—1131211123F. Chaloupka—411148102
WSep 1 · 16:10D. Skulina—91111113F. Chaloupka—117581
LAug 21 · 17:15D. Skulina—8911101F. Chaloupka—11115123
LAug 21 · 14:10D. Skulina—681161F. Chaloupka—11119113
LMar 16 · 17:15D. Skulina—92130F. Chaloupka—1111153
LJan 6 · 18:20D. Skulina—81181192F. Chaloupka—116118113
WJan 6 · 15:15D. Skulina—911114143F. Chaloupka—117811122
LDec 9 · 17:10D. Skulina—118471F. Chaloupka—81111113
D. Skulina10
WSep 11 · 18:45D. Skulina1.57111211113K. Kleprlik2.25814641WSep 11 · 17:45D. Skulina1.7311118113I. Heuman2.00591191LSep 8 · 21:15D. Skulina1.7357110J. Krupnik2.001111133LSep 8 · 19:45D. Skulina2.0012870J. Lisztwan1.731411113WSep 8 · 18:45D. Skulina1.801211143J. Krupnik1.91104120WSep 8 · 17:45D. Skulina1.40114119113A. Cizek2.7571161192WSep 7 · 21:15J. Travnicek1.8324130D. Skulina1.831111153WSep 7 · 19:45D. Skulina1.801111113J. Krupnik1.917950LSep 7 · 18:45D. Skulina1.735970J. Travnicek2.001111113WSep 7 · 17:45D. Skulina1.57131311143R. Sedlacek2.2511155121
F. Chaloupka10
WSep 11 · 19:15I. Heuman2.0051121132F. Chaloupka1.73116117113LSep 11 · 18:15F. Chaloupka1.67611971K. Kleprlik2.1011911113WSep 11 · 17:15F. Chaloupka2.4011118143B. Moravec1.509911121WSep 11 · 16:15R. Benes2.2588110F. Chaloupka1.571111133WSep 11 · 15:15F. Chaloupka2.7511119113J. Pribyl1.40551151WSep 11 · 13:45B. Moravec1.44911681F. Chaloupka2.6311711113WSep 10 · 16:50B. Moravec1.4411741192F. Chaloupka2.63611114113LSep 10 · 16:15J. Pribyl1.36121111123F. Chaloupka3.0010134101LSep 10 · 15:15F. Chaloupka2.20611371J. Skvrna1.6111911113LSep 10 · 13:45B. Moravec1.50111195113F. Chaloupka2.5057111162
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.