TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13113945
Played Sep 11Finished
David Skulina
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
115119811119––
Ivan Heuman
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:43 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDavid Skulina to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDavid Skulina above · Ivan Heuman below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 75 set 4, 11-9 — our read held David Skulina at 54.0%
75 points played in total.
H2H David Skulina 4–7 Ivan Heuman David Skulina has won 4 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:43What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Skulina
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-7 in 11
Heuman
Wrong
gap of 3 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Skulina 1631 vs Heuman 1535
Skulina
Correct
both rated, 96 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skulina 60% vs Heuman 40%
Skulina
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skulina 60% vs Heuman 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Skulina -2 · Heuman +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Skulina) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkulina 1.73 / Heuman 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 46%
Edge (Skulina)+0.8pp
TT Cup · #13113945
Skulina1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite57% won 29 of 51
Up 2–0, closes it89% 16 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it77% 23 of 30
Heuman2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog49% won 64 of 132
Down 0–1, comes back34% 20 of 59
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 21
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSkulina4wins
AwayHeuman6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderHeuman leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkulina66.7%4 of 6
AwayHeuman100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skulina6Heuman4n = 10Skulina took 6 of 10
S2Skulina6Heuman4n = 10Skulina took 6 of 10
S3Skulina4Heuman6n = 10Heuman took 6 of 10
S4Skulina1Heuman5n = 6Heuman took 5 of 6
S5Skulina2Heuman3n = 5Heuman took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSkulinaHeumanS − HBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match41.240.8+0.4per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkulinaHeumanBasisWin rate · lifetime78 / 153 vs 197 / 40151%49.1%78 / 153 vs 197 / 401Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.439.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkulinaSkulina 1.73/Heuman 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.5%
Skulina · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Skulina won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 4 · 19:45D. Skulina—9121161I. Heuman—11143113
LSep 2 · 18:45D. Skulina—101112482I. Heuman—1281011113
LApr 20 · 13:10D. Skulina—811100I. Heuman—1113123
WApr 20 · 11:10D. Skulina—111157113I. Heuman—83111192
WApr 11 · 16:45D. Skulina—1311113I. Heuman—11490
WApr 11 · 13:45D. Skulina—111447113I. Heuman—712111172
LMar 2 · 12:10D. Skulina—713100I. Heuman—1115123
WJan 12 · 21:45D. Skulina—1111113I. Heuman—6580
LJan 12 · 20:40D. Skulina—1115119112I. Heuman—5131311133
LDec 15 · 21:40D. Skulina—119711152I. Heuman—711119173
D. Skulina10
WSep 11 · 18:45D. Skulina1.57111211113K. Kleprlik2.25814641LSep 8 · 21:15D. Skulina1.7357110J. Krupnik2.001111133LSep 8 · 19:45D. Skulina2.0012870J. Lisztwan1.731411113WSep 8 · 18:45D. Skulina1.801211143J. Krupnik1.91104120WSep 8 · 17:45D. Skulina1.40114119113A. Cizek2.7571161192WSep 7 · 21:15J. Travnicek1.8324130D. Skulina1.831111153WSep 7 · 19:45D. Skulina1.801111113J. Krupnik1.917950LSep 7 · 18:45D. Skulina1.735970J. Travnicek2.001111113WSep 7 · 17:45D. Skulina1.57131311143R. Sedlacek2.2511155121WSep 6 · 20:48P. Marsalek2.0058100D. Skulina1.731111123
I. Heuman10
WSep 10 · 20:48P. Marsalek1.8010760I. Heuman1.911211113LSep 10 · 19:45J. Travnicek1.67911116113I. Heuman2.1011531162LSep 10 · 19:15P. Marsalek2.2011711113I. Heuman1.61611891WSep 10 · 18:15I. Heuman1.8311311113A. Kanak1.83611661LSep 5 · 21:30I. Heuman2.639740T. Lysek1.441111113LSep 5 · 20:15T. Lysek2.208111011153I. Heuman1.61119129132WSep 5 · 19:15I. Heuman1.73128116183A. Cizek2.001011611162WSep 5 · 17:45K. Kleprlik2.006131291I. Heuman1.73111114113LSep 4 · 20:38J. Travnicek1.731111133I. Heuman2.0099110WSep 4 · 19:45I. Heuman1.9111143113D. Skulina1.809121161
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