TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13117027
Played Sep 11Finished
Frantisek Chaloupka
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811911811––––
David Skulina
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingFrantisek Chaloupka above · David Skulina below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 58 set 3, 8-11
58 points played in total.
H2H Frantisek Chaloupka 6–3 David Skulina David Skulina has won 3 of their 9 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Chaloupka beat Skulina 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Chaloupka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chaloupka form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChaloupka 1.67 / Skulina 2.10
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Chaloupka)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13117027
Chaloupka1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite55% won 105 of 192
Up 2–0, closes it96% 71 of 74
Up 1–0, closes it74% 91 of 123
Skulina2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog53% won 20 of 38
Down 0–1, comes back26% 5 of 19
Down 0–2, comes back8% 1 of 12
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeChaloupka6wins
AwaySkulina3wins
4 of 9 to a deciderChaloupka leads 6–3, and 4 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeChaloupka66.7%4 of 6
AwaySkulina33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Chaloupka6Skulina3n = 9Chaloupka took 6 of 9
S2Chaloupka6Skulina3n = 9Chaloupka took 6 of 9
S3Chaloupka5Skulina4n = 9Chaloupka took 5 of 9
S4Chaloupka4Skulina4n = 8split evenly
S5Chaloupka2Skulina2n = 4split evenly
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home111%
3–1Four sets, home333%
3–2Decider, home222%
2–3Decider, away222%
1–3Four sets, away111%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 9 meetings
MetricChaloupkaSkulinaC − SBasisWins63+3in 9 meetingsFirst set63+3of 9Avg pointsper match42.838.9+3.9per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChaloupkaSkulinaBasisWin rate · lifetime265 / 508 vs 80 / 15652.2%51.3%265 / 508 vs 80 / 156Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.538.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChaloupkaChaloupka 1.67/Skulina 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57%
Chaloupka · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Skulina won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WSep 11 · 19:45F. Chaloupka—7111112113D. Skulina—11771412
LSep 4 · 14:45F. Chaloupka—411148102D. Skulina—1131211123
LSep 1 · 16:10F. Chaloupka—117581D. Skulina—91111113
WAug 21 · 17:15F. Chaloupka—11115123D. Skulina—8911101
WAug 21 · 14:10F. Chaloupka—11119113D. Skulina—681161
WMar 16 · 17:15F. Chaloupka—1111153D. Skulina—92130
WJan 6 · 18:20F. Chaloupka—116118113D. Skulina—81181192
LJan 6 · 15:15F. Chaloupka—117811122D. Skulina—911114143
WDec 9 · 17:10F. Chaloupka—81111113D. Skulina—118471
F. Chaloupka10
WSep 11 · 19:45D. Skulina2.3811771412F. Chaloupka1.537111112113WSep 11 · 19:15I. Heuman2.0051121132F. Chaloupka1.73116117113LSep 11 · 18:15F. Chaloupka1.67611971K. Kleprlik2.1011911113WSep 11 · 17:15F. Chaloupka2.4011118143B. Moravec1.509911121WSep 11 · 16:15R. Benes2.2588110F. Chaloupka1.571111133WSep 11 · 15:15F. Chaloupka2.7511119113J. Pribyl1.40551151WSep 11 · 13:45B. Moravec1.44911681F. Chaloupka2.6311711113WSep 10 · 16:50B. Moravec1.4411741192F. Chaloupka2.63611114113LSep 10 · 16:15J. Pribyl1.36121111123F. Chaloupka3.0010134101LSep 10 · 15:15F. Chaloupka2.20611371J. Skvrna1.6111911113
D. Skulina10
LSep 11 · 19:45D. Skulina2.3811771412F. Chaloupka1.537111112113WSep 11 · 18:45D. Skulina1.57111211113K. Kleprlik2.25814641WSep 11 · 17:45D. Skulina1.7311118113I. Heuman2.00591191LSep 8 · 21:15D. Skulina1.7357110J. Krupnik2.001111133LSep 8 · 19:45D. Skulina2.0012870J. Lisztwan1.731411113WSep 8 · 18:45D. Skulina1.801211143J. Krupnik1.91104120WSep 8 · 17:45D. Skulina1.40114119113A. Cizek2.7571161192WSep 7 · 21:15J. Travnicek1.8324130D. Skulina1.831111153WSep 7 · 19:45D. Skulina1.801111113J. Krupnik1.917950LSep 7 · 18:45D. Skulina1.735970J. Travnicek2.001111113
Upcoming Matches
F. Chaloupka1 of 1 neutral
D. Skulina
Nothing scheduled
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