TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13124101
Played Sep 13Finished
Jan Gembala
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
116611118118––
Jiri Skalicky
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingJan Gembala above · Jiri Skalicky below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 72 set 4, 11-8
72 points played in total.
H2H Jan Gembala 4–3 Jiri Skalicky Jiri Skalicky has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Gembala)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gembala form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGembala 1.67 / Skalicky 2.10
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Gembala)+3.2pp
TT Cup · #13124101
Gembala1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite56% won 78 of 140
Up 2–0, closes it98% 48 of 49
Up 1–0, closes it79% 62 of 79
Skalicky2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 17 of 42
Down 0–1, comes back16% 4 of 25
Down 0–2, comes back8% 1 of 12
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeGembala4wins
AwaySkalicky3wins
1 of 7 to a deciderGembala leads 4–3, and 1 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGembala80%4 of 5
AwaySkalickyn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gembala5Skalicky2n = 7Gembala took 5 of 7
S2Gembala3Skalicky4n = 7Skalicky took 4 of 7
S3Gembala6Skalicky1n = 7Gembala took 6 of 7
S4Gembala0Skalicky4n = 4Skalicky took 4 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home343%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away343%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricGembalaSkalickyG − SBasisWins43+1in 7 meetingsFirst set52+3of 7Avg pointsper match35.333.9+1.4per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGembalaSkalickyBasisWin rate · lifetime205 / 376 vs 100 / 19654.5%51%205 / 376 vs 100 / 196Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.139.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GembalaGembala 1.67/Skalicky 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59%
Gembala · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Gembala won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LJul 18 · 08:38J. Gembala351141191J. Skalicky4113116113
LJul 18 · 07:40J. Gembala35961371J. Skalicky44111111113
WJul 5 · 07:40J. Gembala46114146113J. Skalicky46511121172
WJun 7 · 10:10J. Gembala331111113J. Skalicky209470
LJun 6 · 09:15J. Gembala28117641J. Skalicky4071111113
WJun 6 · 05:40J. Gembala361114113J. Skalicky2471250
WMay 23 · 10:40J. Gembala341211113J. Skalicky2210660
J. Gembala10
LSep 13 · 07:40J. Gembala1.67913591F. Chaloupka2.10111111113WSep 13 · 06:40J. Gembala1.7311127113J. Skalicky2.009101171LSep 13 · 05:40J. Gembala1.5712710101T. Krenek2.25101112123LSep 11 · 09:10J. Gembala2.0075121172A. Vitasek1.731111106113WSep 11 · 07:40A. Vitasek1.73117671J. Gembala2.0081111113WSep 11 · 07:10T. Krenek2.107111191J. Gembala1.6711137113LSep 11 · 06:10J. Gembala1.6181181152J. Krupnik2.20119116113WSep 8 · 09:10J. Gembala1.63911811113M. Macurak2.0611311482WSep 8 · 07:40M. Macurak2.10571191J. Gembala1.6711118113WSep 8 · 07:10D. Jr2.63714991J. Gembala1.44111211113
J. Skalicky10
WSep 13 · 08:10J. Skalicky1.8011814113T. Krenek1.915111221LSep 13 · 06:40J. Gembala1.7311127113J. Skalicky2.009101171LSep 13 · 06:10F. Chaloupka1.831311510113J. Skalicky1.83117111282WSep 12 · 08:40F. Chaloupka1.919970J. Skalicky1.801111113LSep 12 · 08:10J. Skalicky1.80591161F. Chaloupka1.9111118113LSep 12 · 06:40B. Moravec1.6141111113J. Skalicky2.20117541LSep 12 · 06:10A. Vitasek1.731111113J. Skalicky2.006480LAug 30 · 08:49J. Skalicky1.836124101F. Chaloupka1.83111011123LAug 30 · 08:10J. Skvrna1.67115911113J. Skalicky2.1091111652WAug 30 · 07:10J. Skalicky1.8311119113F. Chaloupka1.83791161
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