TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13122328
Played Sep 13Finished
Frantisek Chaloupka
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
13111175111012118
Jiri Skalicky
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:43 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJiri Skalicky to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingFrantisek Chaloupka above · Jiri Skalicky below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 10-12
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 99 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Jiri Skalicky at 54.0%
99 points played in total.
H2H Frantisek Chaloupka 9–10 Jiri Skalicky Frantisek Chaloupka has won 9 of their 19 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:43What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Skalicky
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-10 in 19
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Chaloupka 1618 vs Skalicky 1595
Chaloupka
Correct
both rated, 23 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Chaloupka 20% vs Skalicky 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Chaloupka 50% vs Skalicky 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Chaloupka -1 · Skalicky +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Chaloupka) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skalicky form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChaloupka 1.83 / Skalicky 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Chaloupka)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13122328
Chaloupka1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Skalicky1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeChaloupka6wins
AwaySkalicky4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderChaloupka leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeChaloupka75%6 of 8
AwaySkalickyn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Chaloupka8Skalicky2n = 10Chaloupka took 8 of 10
S2Chaloupka6Skalicky4n = 10Chaloupka took 6 of 10
S3Chaloupka4Skalicky6n = 10Skalicky took 6 of 10
S4Chaloupka3Skalicky5n = 8Skalicky took 5 of 8
S5Chaloupka2Skalicky2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricChaloupkaSkalickyC − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match39.939.2+0.7per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChaloupkaSkalickyBasisWin rate · lifetime267 / 514 vs 99 / 19552%50.8%267 / 514 vs 99 / 195Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.539.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChaloupkaChaloupka 1.83/Skalicky 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Chaloupka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Chaloupka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 13 · 06:10F. Chaloupka501311510113J. Skalicky49117111282
LSep 12 · 08:40F. Chaloupka259970J. Skalicky331111113
WSep 12 · 08:10F. Chaloupka4111118113J. Skalicky31591161
WAug 30 · 08:49F. Chaloupka44111011123J. Skalicky326124101
LAug 30 · 07:10F. Chaloupka33791161J. Skalicky4211119113
LAug 22 · 19:40F. Chaloupka49116129112J. Skalicky516111011133
WJul 12 · 13:40F. Chaloupka45111256113J. Skalicky49910111182
LJun 21 · 07:15F. Chaloupka3511114452J. Skalicky47771111113
WMay 17 · 08:40F. Chaloupka44111111113J. Skalicky38971391
WMay 17 · 08:10F. Chaloupka331111113J. Skalicky206950
F. Chaloupka10
LSep 12 · 08:40F. Chaloupka1.919970J. Skalicky1.801111113WSep 12 · 08:10J. Skalicky1.80591161F. Chaloupka1.9111118113LSep 12 · 07:10F. Chaloupka2.3861191162A. Vitasek1.53117117113LSep 12 · 05:40B. Moravec1.501111113F. Chaloupka2.505380LSep 11 · 21:19F. Chaloupka1.678980D. Skulina2.101111113WSep 11 · 19:45D. Skulina2.3811771412F. Chaloupka1.537111112113WSep 11 · 19:15I. Heuman2.0051121132F. Chaloupka1.73116117113LSep 11 · 18:15F. Chaloupka1.67611971K. Kleprlik2.1011911113WSep 11 · 17:15F. Chaloupka2.4011118143B. Moravec1.509911121WSep 11 · 16:15R. Benes2.2588110F. Chaloupka1.571111133
J. Skalicky10
LSep 13 · 06:40J. Gembala1.7311127113J. Skalicky2.009101171WSep 12 · 08:40F. Chaloupka1.919970J. Skalicky1.801111113LSep 12 · 08:10J. Skalicky1.80591161F. Chaloupka1.9111118113LSep 12 · 06:40B. Moravec1.6141111113J. Skalicky2.20117541LSep 12 · 06:10A. Vitasek1.731111113J. Skalicky2.006480LAug 30 · 08:49J. Skalicky1.836124101F. Chaloupka1.83111011123LAug 30 · 08:10J. Skvrna1.67115911113J. Skalicky2.1091111652WAug 30 · 07:10J. Skalicky1.8311119113F. Chaloupka1.83791161LAug 30 · 05:40B. Moravec1.50117119113J. Skalicky2.5051121172WAug 29 · 09:19J. Skalicky1.7312711113A. Cizek2.001011451
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