TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13119233
Played Sep 12Finished
Frantisek Chaloupka
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911911711––––
Jiri Skalicky
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
How it is goingFrantisek Chaloupka above · Jiri Skalicky below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 58 set 3, 7-11
58 points played in total.
H2H Frantisek Chaloupka 8–9 Jiri Skalicky Frantisek Chaloupka has won 8 of their 17 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Chaloupka beat Skalicky 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Skalicky)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skalicky form (0%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChaloupka 1.91 / Skalicky 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Skalicky)+2.5pp
TT Cup · #13119233
Chaloupka1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog47% won 56 of 120
Down 0–1, comes back30% 19 of 64
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 29
Skalicky1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite55% won 41 of 74
Up 2–0, closes it100% 12 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it75% 24 of 32
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeChaloupka6wins
AwaySkalicky4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderChaloupka leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeChaloupka75%6 of 8
AwaySkalickyn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Chaloupka8Skalicky2n = 10Chaloupka took 8 of 10
S2Chaloupka5Skalicky5n = 10split evenly
S3Chaloupka5Skalicky5n = 10split evenly
S4Chaloupka4Skalicky4n = 8split evenly
S5Chaloupka1Skalicky2n = 3Skalicky took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricChaloupkaSkalickyC − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match39.037.6+1.4per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChaloupkaSkalickyBasisWin rate · lifetime266 / 512 vs 98 / 19352%50.8%266 / 512 vs 98 / 193Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.539.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkalickyChaloupka 1.91/Skalicky 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Skalicky · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Skalicky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 12 · 08:10F. Chaloupka—11118113J. Skalicky—591161
WAug 30 · 08:49F. Chaloupka—111011123J. Skalicky—6124101
LAug 30 · 07:10F. Chaloupka—791161J. Skalicky—11119113
LAug 22 · 19:40F. Chaloupka—116129112J. Skalicky—6111011133
WJul 12 · 13:40F. Chaloupka—111256113J. Skalicky—910111182
LJun 21 · 07:15F. Chaloupka—11114452J. Skalicky—771111113
WMay 17 · 08:40F. Chaloupka—111111113J. Skalicky—971391
WMay 17 · 08:10F. Chaloupka—1111113J. Skalicky—6950
LMay 1 · 20:40F. Chaloupka—10790J. Skalicky—1211113
WMay 1 · 18:40F. Chaloupka—11711113J. Skalicky—411891
F. Chaloupka10
WSep 12 · 08:10J. Skalicky1.80591161F. Chaloupka1.9111118113LSep 12 · 07:10F. Chaloupka2.3861191162A. Vitasek1.53117117113LSep 12 · 05:40B. Moravec1.501111113F. Chaloupka2.505380LSep 11 · 21:19F. Chaloupka1.678980D. Skulina2.101111113WSep 11 · 19:45D. Skulina2.3811771412F. Chaloupka1.537111112113WSep 11 · 19:15I. Heuman2.0051121132F. Chaloupka1.73116117113LSep 11 · 18:15F. Chaloupka1.67611971K. Kleprlik2.1011911113WSep 11 · 17:15F. Chaloupka2.4011118143B. Moravec1.509911121WSep 11 · 16:15R. Benes2.2588110F. Chaloupka1.571111133WSep 11 · 15:15F. Chaloupka2.7511119113J. Pribyl1.40551151
J. Skalicky10
LSep 12 · 08:10J. Skalicky1.80591161F. Chaloupka1.9111118113LSep 12 · 06:40B. Moravec1.6141111113J. Skalicky2.20117541LSep 12 · 06:10A. Vitasek1.731111113J. Skalicky2.006480LAug 30 · 08:49J. Skalicky1.836124101F. Chaloupka1.83111011123LAug 30 · 08:10J. Skvrna1.67115911113J. Skalicky2.1091111652WAug 30 · 07:10J. Skalicky1.8311119113F. Chaloupka1.83791161LAug 30 · 05:40B. Moravec1.50117119113J. Skalicky2.5051121172WAug 29 · 09:19J. Skalicky1.7312711113A. Cizek2.001011451WAug 29 · 07:45J. Skalicky1.911111113D. Jr1.808480LAug 29 · 06:45J. Skalicky1.61771181A. Cizek2.2011114113
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