TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13123063
Played Sep 13Finished
Erik Precek
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811411117811––
Jan Skvrna
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 02:25 and never touched — 60.1% is still 60.1%
Graded at full timeJan Skvrna to win
60.1%
60.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingErik Precek above · Jan Skvrna below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 71 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Jan Skvrna at 60.1%
71 points played in total.
H2H Erik Precek 10–17 Jan Skvrna Erik Precek has won 10 of their 27 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 02:25What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Skvrna
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-17 in 27
Skvrna
Correct
gap of 7 in 27, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Precek 1561 vs Skvrna 1673
Skvrna
Correct
both rated, 112 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Precek 60% vs Skvrna 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Precek 50% vs Skvrna 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Precek -1 · Skvrna -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Skvrna)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Precek form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPrecek 2.25 / Skvrna 1.57
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Skvrna)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13123063
Precek2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog41% won 57 of 138
Down 0–1, comes back22% 17 of 76
Down 0–2, comes back9% 4 of 44
Skvrna1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite59% won 223 of 378
Up 2–0, closes it93% 71 of 76
Up 1–0, closes it74% 155 of 209
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePrecek3wins
AwaySkvrna7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSkvrna leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePrecek50%2 of 4
AwaySkvrna83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Precek4Skvrna6n = 10Skvrna took 6 of 10
S2Precek3Skvrna7n = 10Skvrna took 7 of 10
S3Precek5Skvrna5n = 10split evenly
S4Precek3Skvrna4n = 7Skvrna took 4 of 7
S5Precek1Skvrna2n = 3Skvrna took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricPrecekSkvrnaP − SBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match37.739.5−1.8per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPrecekSkvrnaBasisWin rate · lifetime216 / 459 vs 465 / 80247.1%58%216 / 459 vs 465 / 802Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.040.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkvrnaPrecek 2.25/Skvrna 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.1%
Skvrna · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Skvrna won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 6 · 12:40E. Precek538111211113J. Skvrna4511914472
LSep 6 · 09:45E. Precek371551071J. Skvrna47131112113
LSep 5 · 09:45E. Precek50911101192J. Skvrna48115129113
LJul 16 · 13:15E. Precek3113990J. Skvrna371511113
LJul 16 · 09:40E. Precek28831161J. Skvrna3611113113
LJul 14 · 09:45E. Precek32961161J. Skvrna4111118113
WJul 12 · 14:10E. Precek43111011113J. Skvrna31612851
LJul 10 · 12:50E. Precek236980J. Skvrna331111113
WJul 10 · 10:45E. Precek351113113J. Skvrna2551190
LJun 23 · 11:10E. Precek4511913752J. Skvrna528111111113
E. Precek10
LSep 13 · 09:40J. Krupnik1.5714117113E. Precek2.251261171WSep 12 · 17:20I. Heuman1.91119381E. Precek1.8071111113LSep 12 · 16:10I. Heuman2.101111119113E. Precek1.6759131182WSep 12 · 15:10E. Precek1.831412113D. Vitasek1.83121090WSep 12 · 13:40D. Skulina1.618137101E. Precek2.20111111123WSep 6 · 12:40J. Skvrna1.5711914472E. Precek2.258111211113LSep 6 · 12:15L. Slavik1.801111113E. Precek1.916990WSep 6 · 11:15E. Precek2.10571112113T. Krenek1.67111181092LSep 6 · 09:45J. Skvrna1.53131112113E. Precek2.381551071LSep 5 · 12:40J. Krupnik1.3611711113E. Precek3.00911261
J. Skvrna10
WSep 13 · 11:40J. Krupnik2.0011811762J. Skvrna1.73711811113LSep 13 · 10:10J. Skvrna1.801061171T. Krenek1.9112114113LSep 10 · 17:20J. Skvrna1.538970J. Pribyl2.381111113WSep 10 · 15:45B. Moravec1.441061171J. Skvrna2.6312118113WSep 10 · 15:15F. Chaloupka2.20611371J. Skvrna1.6111911113WSep 10 · 14:15J. Skvrna1.6711117143J. Pribyl2.108911121WSep 10 · 12:49T. Grmela2.20117871J. Skvrna1.6131111113WSep 10 · 11:45B. Mrowetz2.0011118682J. Skvrna1.73731111113LSep 6 · 12:40J. Skvrna1.5711914472E. Precek2.258111211113WSep 6 · 09:45J. Skvrna1.53131112113E. Precek2.381551071
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