TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13119441
Played Sep 12Finished
Erik Precek
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
14121210119––––
Daniel Vitasek
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:33 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDaniel Vitasek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingErik Precek above · Daniel Vitasek below
Set 1 · 14-12
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 8-4
Point 60 set 3, 8-4 — our read held Daniel Vitasek at 54.0%
60 points drawn · the score is 8 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Erik Precek 16–15 Daniel Vitasek Daniel Vitasek has won 15 of their 31 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:33What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Vitasek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
16-15 in 31
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Precek 1578 vs Vitasek 1592
Vitasek
Wrong
both rated, 14 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Precek 60% vs Vitasek 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Precek 40% vs Vitasek 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Precek +2 · Vitasek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Precek) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPrecek 1.83 / Vitasek 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Precek)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13119441
Precek1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Vitasek1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePrecek6wins
AwayVitasek4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderPrecek leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePrecek80%4 of 5
AwayVitasek60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Precek5Vitasek5n = 10split evenly
S2Precek7Vitasek3n = 10Precek took 7 of 10
S3Precek2Vitasek8n = 10Vitasek took 8 of 10
S4Precek4Vitasek3n = 7Precek took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricPrecekVitasekP − VBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.337.0+2.3per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPrecekVitasekBasisWin rate · lifetime214 / 455 vs 293 / 60447%48.5%214 / 455 vs 293 / 604Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.038.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PrecekPrecek 1.83/Vitasek 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Precek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Precek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 30 · 07:45E. Precek4111613111D. Vitasek4781115133
WAug 16 · 11:15E. Precek54811119153D. Vitasek47116611132
LJul 18 · 20:48E. Precek2778120D. Vitasek361111143
WJul 18 · 19:40E. Precek576111712113D. Vitasek54115191092
WJun 27 · 12:45E. Precek331111113D. Vitasek239590
LJun 27 · 10:15E. Precek237970D. Vitasek331111113
WJun 11 · 06:10E. Precek4211128113D. Vitasek356101181
LJun 10 · 08:45E. Precek347115111D. Vitasek4411911133
WJun 10 · 07:15E. Precek4111118113D. Vitasek29771141
WJun 3 · 06:10E. Precek4111118113D. Vitasek22341141
E. Precek10
WSep 12 · 13:40D. Skulina1.618137101E. Precek2.20111111123WSep 6 · 12:40J. Skvrna1.5711914472E. Precek2.258111211113LSep 6 · 12:15L. Slavik1.801111113E. Precek1.916990WSep 6 · 11:15E. Precek2.10571112113T. Krenek1.67111181092LSep 6 · 09:45J. Skvrna1.53131112113E. Precek2.381551071LSep 5 · 12:40J. Krupnik1.3611711113E. Precek3.00911261WSep 5 · 12:15M. Macurak1.618770E. Precek2.201111113LSep 5 · 11:15E. Precek2.107515101J. Krupnik1.67111113123LSep 5 · 09:45J. Skvrna1.53115129113E. Precek2.38911101192LAug 30 · 08:49L. Dzida2.201111113E. Precek1.616870
D. Vitasek10
WSep 12 · 15:40D. Skulina1.501111781D. Vitasek2.5061311113LSep 12 · 14:10D. Vitasek1.8341151142I. Heuman1.83118114113WAug 30 · 09:20K. Kleprlik1.837111381D. Vitasek1.8311815113WAug 30 · 07:45E. Precek1.8011613111D. Vitasek1.9181115133WAug 30 · 07:15L. Dzida2.00991151D. Vitasek1.7311113113LAug 30 · 06:15D. Vitasek1.80791251K. Kleprlik1.91111110113LAug 28 · 20:35J. Gembala1.301111113D. Vitasek3.408260LAug 28 · 20:10D. Vitasek1.804480T. Kindl1.911111113WAug 28 · 18:40J. Gembala1.4411101191D. Vitasek2.6391213113LAug 28 · 18:10F. Chaloupka1.44151110113D. Vitasek2.631361281
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