TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13119672
Played Sep 12Finished
Daniel Vitasek
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
411118511114411
Ivan Heuman
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:54 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDaniel Vitasek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDaniel Vitasek above · Ivan Heuman below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-4
Set 5 · 0-3
Point 68 set 5, 0-3 — our read held Daniel Vitasek at 54.0%
68 points drawn · the score is 12 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Daniel Vitasek 18–19 Ivan Heuman Daniel Vitasek has won 18 of their 37 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:54What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Heuman
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
18-19 in 37
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vitasek 1619 vs Heuman 1516
Vitasek
Wrong
both rated, 103 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vitasek 60% vs Heuman 40%
Vitasek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vitasek 50% vs Heuman 30%
Vitasek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vitasek +3 · Heuman -1
Vitasek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vitasek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Heuman form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVitasek 1.83 / Heuman 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Vitasek)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13119672
Vitasek1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Heuman1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVitasek5wins
AwayHeuman5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVitasek75%3 of 4
AwayHeuman66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vitasek4Heuman6n = 10Heuman took 6 of 10
S2Vitasek4Heuman6n = 10Heuman took 6 of 10
S3Vitasek8Heuman2n = 10Vitasek took 8 of 10
S4Vitasek7Heuman2n = 9Vitasek took 7 of 9
S5Vitasek0Heuman3n = 3Heuman took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricVitasekHeumanV − HBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match40.440.1+0.3per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVitasekHeumanBasisWin rate · lifetime293 / 603 vs 198 / 40548.6%48.9%293 / 603 vs 198 / 405Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.039.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VitasekVitasek 1.83/Heuman 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Vitasek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Heuman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 11 · 18:40D. Vitasek4361111153I. Heuman351192131
LAug 10 · 17:45D. Vitasek4211861252I. Heuman529111110113
WAug 8 · 17:45D. Vitasek4013511113I. Heuman401111991
LJul 31 · 20:39D. Vitasek351071171I. Heuman4312119113
LJul 31 · 18:10D. Vitasek4296111152I. Heuman4111116583
LJul 12 · 21:15D. Vitasek361011781I. Heuman4212811113
WJul 12 · 19:45D. Vitasek4041114113I. Heuman311151231
WJul 7 · 18:40D. Vitasek4511814123I. Heuman4291112101
WJun 1 · 08:40D. Vitasek341111123I. Heuman2798100
LJun 1 · 06:10D. Vitasek4788111192I. Heuman48111178113
D. Vitasek10
WSep 12 · 15:40D. Skulina1.501111781D. Vitasek2.5061311113LSep 12 · 15:10E. Precek1.831412113D. Vitasek1.83121090WAug 30 · 09:20K. Kleprlik1.837111381D. Vitasek1.8311815113WAug 30 · 07:45E. Precek1.8011613111D. Vitasek1.9181115133WAug 30 · 07:15L. Dzida2.00991151D. Vitasek1.7311113113LAug 30 · 06:15D. Vitasek1.80791251K. Kleprlik1.91111110113LAug 28 · 20:35J. Gembala1.301111113D. Vitasek3.408260LAug 28 · 20:10D. Vitasek1.804480T. Kindl1.911111113WAug 28 · 18:40J. Gembala1.4411101191D. Vitasek2.6391213113LAug 28 · 18:10F. Chaloupka1.44151110113D. Vitasek2.631361281
I. Heuman10
LSep 12 · 14:40D. Skulina1.6712141111113I. Heuman2.1014169932LSep 11 · 20:49I. Heuman1.67561161K. Kleprlik2.1011119113WSep 11 · 20:15K. Kleprlik1.807111081I. Heuman1.9111812113LSep 11 · 19:15I. Heuman2.0051121132F. Chaloupka1.73116117113LSep 11 · 17:45D. Skulina1.7311118113I. Heuman2.00591191WSep 10 · 20:48P. Marsalek1.8010760I. Heuman1.911211113LSep 10 · 19:45J. Travnicek1.67911116113I. Heuman2.1011531162LSep 10 · 19:15P. Marsalek2.2011711113I. Heuman1.61611891WSep 10 · 18:15I. Heuman1.8311311113A. Kanak1.83611661LSep 5 · 21:30I. Heuman2.639740T. Lysek1.441111113
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