TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13119761
Played Sep 12Finished
David Skulina
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1161113711811––
Daniel Vitasek
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:46 and never touched — 62.1% is still 62.1%
Graded at full timeDavid Skulina to win
62.1%
62.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDavid Skulina above · Daniel Vitasek below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 6-7
Point 72 set 4, 6-7 — our read held David Skulina at 62.1%
72 points drawn · the score is 6 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H David Skulina 2–6 Daniel Vitasek David Skulina has won 2 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:46What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Skulina
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-6 in 8
Vitasek
Correct
gap of 4 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Skulina 1655 vs Vitasek 1578
Skulina
Wrong
both rated, 77 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skulina 60% vs Vitasek 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skulina 60% vs Vitasek 40%
Skulina
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Skulina +1 · Vitasek -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Skulina) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vitasek form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkulina 1.50 / Vitasek 2.50
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Skulina)+1.6pp
TT Cup · #13119761
Skulina1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite59% won 31 of 53
Up 2–0, closes it90% 17 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it78% 25 of 32
Vitasek2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog51% won 104 of 206
Down 0–1, comes back26% 28 of 110
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 61
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeSkulina2wins
AwayVitasek6wins
2 of 8 to a deciderVitasek leads 6–2, and 2 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkulina40%2 of 5
AwayVitasek100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skulina5Vitasek3n = 8Skulina took 5 of 8
S2Skulina4Vitasek4n = 8split evenly
S3Skulina2Vitasek6n = 8Vitasek took 6 of 8
S4Skulina1Vitasek3n = 4Vitasek took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home225%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away225%
1–3Four sets, away225%
0–3Straight, away225%
These 8 meetings
MetricSkulinaVitasekS − VBasisWins26−4in 8 meetingsFirst set53+2of 8Avg pointsper match34.937.9−3.0per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkulinaVitasekBasisWin rate · lifetime82 / 159 vs 293 / 60551.6%48.4%82 / 159 vs 293 / 605Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.637.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkulinaSkulina 1.50/Vitasek 2.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64.1%
Skulina · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Vitasek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WJul 27 · 17:45D. Skulina341112113D. Vitasek2261060
LJul 26 · 11:40D. Skulina46111148122D. Vitasek53981111143
LMay 3 · 18:45D. Skulina23114351D. Vitasek4071111113
LApr 11 · 15:45D. Skulina30415110D. Vitasek411117133
LApr 2 · 17:45D. Skulina359111051D. Vitasek4311912113
WJan 27 · 17:50D. Skulina351111133D. Vitasek2797110
LJan 27 · 17:10D. Skulina52119121192D. Vitasek44711142103
LJan 12 · 18:40D. Skulina248790D. Vitasek331111113
D. Skulina10
WSep 12 · 14:40D. Skulina1.6712141111113I. Heuman2.1014169932LSep 12 · 13:40D. Skulina1.618137101E. Precek2.20111111123WSep 11 · 21:19F. Chaloupka1.678980D. Skulina2.101111113LSep 11 · 19:45D. Skulina2.3811771412F. Chaloupka1.537111112113WSep 11 · 18:45D. Skulina1.57111211113K. Kleprlik2.25814641WSep 11 · 17:45D. Skulina1.7311118113I. Heuman2.00591191LSep 8 · 21:15D. Skulina1.7357110J. Krupnik2.001111133LSep 8 · 19:45D. Skulina2.0012870J. Lisztwan1.731411113WSep 8 · 18:45D. Skulina1.801211143J. Krupnik1.91104120WSep 8 · 17:45D. Skulina1.40114119113A. Cizek2.7571161192
D. Vitasek10
LSep 12 · 15:10E. Precek1.831412113D. Vitasek1.83121090LSep 12 · 14:10D. Vitasek1.8341151142I. Heuman1.83118114113WAug 30 · 09:20K. Kleprlik1.837111381D. Vitasek1.8311815113WAug 30 · 07:45E. Precek1.8011613111D. Vitasek1.9181115133WAug 30 · 07:15L. Dzida2.00991151D. Vitasek1.7311113113LAug 30 · 06:15D. Vitasek1.80791251K. Kleprlik1.91111110113LAug 28 · 20:35J. Gembala1.301111113D. Vitasek3.408260LAug 28 · 20:10D. Vitasek1.804480T. Kindl1.911111113WAug 28 · 18:40J. Gembala1.4411101191D. Vitasek2.6391213113LAug 28 · 18:10F. Chaloupka1.44151110113D. Vitasek2.631361281
Upcoming Matches
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D. Vitasek
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