TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13119664
Played Sep 12Finished
Ivan Heuman
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1151191113911118
Erik Precek
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:54 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeErik Precek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingIvan Heuman above · Erik Precek below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 99 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Erik Precek at 54.0%
99 points played in total.
H2H Ivan Heuman 4–6 Erik Precek Ivan Heuman has won 4 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:54What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Precek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-6 in 10
Precek
Wrong
gap of 2 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Heuman 1547 vs Precek 1592
Precek
Wrong
both rated, 46 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Heuman 40% vs Precek 80%
Precek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Heuman 40% vs Precek 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Heuman -1 · Precek +3
Precek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Precek) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Precek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHeuman 2.10 / Precek 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Precek)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13119664
Heuman2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog48% won 65 of 135
Down 0–1, comes back33% 20 of 61
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 22
Precek1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite43% won 41 of 95
Up 2–0, closes it96% 22 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it65% 28 of 43
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHeuman4wins
AwayPrecek6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderPrecek leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHeumann = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayPrecek85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Heuman2Precek7n = 9Precek took 7 of 9
S2Heuman5Precek4n = 9Heuman took 5 of 9
S3Heuman5Precek4n = 9Heuman took 5 of 9
S4Heuman5Precek4n = 9Heuman took 5 of 9
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricHeumanPrecekH − PBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set27−5of 9Avg pointsper match40.642.4−1.8per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHeumanPrecekBasisWin rate · lifetime199 / 407 vs 215 / 45648.9%47.2%199 / 407 vs 215 / 456Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.638.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PrecekHeuman 2.10/Precek 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.2%
Precek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Heuman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LJun 19 · 06:40I. Heuman631412171192E. Precek651610199113
LJun 6 · 08:45I. Heuman346511121E. Precek4111115143
WJun 6 · 06:10I. Heuman46121112113E. Precek361471051
LApr 11 · 16:15I. Heuman32881151E. Precek3711114113
LApr 6 · 05:45I. Heuman3951141182E. Precek44115116113
LFeb 18 · 14:15I. Heuman291041141E. Precek4112117113
LFeb 18 · 13:15I. Heuman31811841E. Precek3611311113
WFeb 2 · 18:45I. Heuman52131117113E. Precek471181991
WDec 17 · 19:45I. Heuman3911611113E. Precek35911961
I. Heuman10
LSep 12 · 14:40D. Skulina1.6712141111113I. Heuman2.1014169932WSep 12 · 14:10D. Vitasek1.8341151142I. Heuman1.83118114113LSep 11 · 20:49I. Heuman1.67561161K. Kleprlik2.1011119113WSep 11 · 20:15K. Kleprlik1.807111081I. Heuman1.9111812113LSep 11 · 19:15I. Heuman2.0051121132F. Chaloupka1.73116117113LSep 11 · 17:45D. Skulina1.7311118113I. Heuman2.00591191WSep 10 · 20:48P. Marsalek1.8010760I. Heuman1.911211113LSep 10 · 19:45J. Travnicek1.67911116113I. Heuman2.1011531162LSep 10 · 19:15P. Marsalek2.2011711113I. Heuman1.61611891WSep 10 · 18:15I. Heuman1.8311311113A. Kanak1.83611661
E. Precek10
WSep 12 · 15:10E. Precek1.831412113D. Vitasek1.83121090WSep 12 · 13:40D. Skulina1.618137101E. Precek2.20111111123WSep 6 · 12:40J. Skvrna1.5711914472E. Precek2.258111211113LSep 6 · 12:15L. Slavik1.801111113E. Precek1.916990WSep 6 · 11:15E. Precek2.10571112113T. Krenek1.67111181092LSep 6 · 09:45J. Skvrna1.53131112113E. Precek2.381551071LSep 5 · 12:40J. Krupnik1.3611711113E. Precek3.00911261WSep 5 · 12:15M. Macurak1.618770E. Precek2.201111113LSep 5 · 11:15E. Precek2.107515101J. Krupnik1.67111113123LSep 5 · 09:45J. Skvrna1.53115129113E. Precek2.38911101192
Upcoming Matches
I. Heuman
E. Precek
Nothing scheduled
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.