TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13120346
Played Sep 13Finished
Michal Zahradka
Home
4.00
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
101212101012811––
Jan Cernik
Away
1.22
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:54 and never touched — 81.0% is still 81.0%
Graded at full timeJan Cernik to win
81.0%
81.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMichal Zahradka above · Jan Cernik below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 85 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Jan Cernik at 81.0%
85 points played in total.
H2H Michal Zahradka 4–10 Jan Cernik Michal Zahradka has won 4 of their 14 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:54What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.22 (77%)
Cernik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-10 in 14
Cernik
Correct
gap of 6 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zahradka 1853 vs Cernik 2052
Cernik
Correct
both rated, 200 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zahradka 40% vs Cernik 80%
Cernik
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zahradka 50% vs Cernik 70%
Cernik
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zahradka -3 · Cernik +1
Zahradka
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 81% — Strong (leans Cernik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zahradka form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (25%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZahradka 4.00 / Cernik 1.22
Signal prob.19% / 81%
Edge (Cernik)+4.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13120346
Zahradka4.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog40% won 69 of 171
Down 0–1, comes back19% 16 of 83
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 48
Cernik1.22
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite70% won 83 of 118
Up 2–0, closes it96% 50 of 52
Up 1–0, closes it88% 63 of 72
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZahradka2wins
AwayCernik8wins
2 of 10 to a deciderCernik leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZahradka0%0 of 3
AwayCernik71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zahradka3Cernik7n = 10Cernik took 7 of 10
S2Zahradka2Cernik8n = 10Cernik took 8 of 10
S3Zahradka3Cernik7n = 10Cernik took 7 of 10
S4Zahradka3Cernik4n = 7Cernik took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricZahradkaCernikZ − CBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match33.638.7−5.1per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZahradkaCernikBasisWin rate · lifetime439 / 902 vs 194 / 32648.7%59.5%439 / 902 vs 194 / 326Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.537.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CernikZahradka 4.00/Cernik 1.22
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
81%
Cernik · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Cernik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJan 4 · 09:30M. Zahradka4011105141J. Cernik4341211163
LDec 14 · 12:30M. Zahradka184950J. Cernik331111113
LOct 26 · 14:30M. Zahradka2812970J. Cernik361411113
LOct 26 · 11:30M. Zahradka176650J. Cernik331111113
WOct 26 · 08:30M. Zahradka43101111113J. Cernik30129811
LSep 26 · 13:30M. Zahradka4411941192J. Cernik44411117113
LSep 26 · 11:00M. Zahradka32771261J. Cernik42111110103
LSep 26 · 07:30M. Zahradka34881171J. Cernik4111118113
WJul 16 · 06:00M. Zahradka511211611113J. Cernik4614611962
LJul 13 · 13:00M. Zahradka29117831J. Cernik3961111113
M. Zahradka10
LSep 13 · 15:30T. Kos1.30111112113M. Zahradka3.40561471LSep 13 · 14:00M. Zahradka2.10811121192L. Zeman1.67117149113LSep 8 · 17:30M. Zahradka1.83101181152T. Postelt1.83129114113WSep 8 · 16:30M. Zahradka1.831116113T. Postelt1.8361450WSep 8 · 15:00M. Zahradka2.751111113V. Koubek1.405680WSep 8 · 14:00L. Jindrak1.571310671M. Zahradka2.25111211113LSep 7 · 21:30J. Kycelt1.831111123M. Zahradka1.8383100WSep 7 · 20:30J. Kycelt1.67119101282M. Zahradka2.107111210113WSep 7 · 19:30M. Zahradka1.57711611113P. Bradach2.2511311772LSep 7 · 18:30E. Mares1.2511119113M. Zahradka3.75841151
J. Cernik10
WSep 13 · 15:00L. Zeman3.004380J. Cernik1.361111113LSep 13 · 14:30J. Cernik1.5351090T. Kos2.381112113WAug 29 · 13:30J. Cernik2.33911911113L. Boruvka1.5411511792WAug 29 · 12:30J. Cernik2.7512117113L. Boruvka1.401041161WAug 29 · 11:00J. Cernik1.281111113M. Kratochvil3.508630WAug 29 · 10:00J. Zajicek1.401149111J. Cernik2.7561111133WAug 29 · 09:00J. Cernik1.401111123M. Kratochvil2.6579100LAug 29 · 08:00L. Boruvka1.4061111113J. Cernik2.75119941WAug 29 · 07:00M. Kratochvil3.008780J. Cernik1.361111113LAug 29 · 06:30J. Cernik2.75611111182J. Zajicek1.40118713113
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