TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13092929
Played Sep 8Finished
Michal Zahradka
Home
2.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115116118––––
Vojtech Koubek
Away
1.40
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:38 and never touched — 68.7% is still 68.7%
Graded at full timeVojtech Koubek to win
68.7%
68.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMichal Zahradka above · Vojtech Koubek below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 52 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Vojtech Koubek at 68.7%
52 points played in total.
H2H Michal Zahradka 2–4 Vojtech Koubek Michal Zahradka has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:38What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Koubek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-4 in 6
Koubek
Wrong
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zahradka 1863 vs Koubek 1863
Zahradka
Correct
both rated, 0 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zahradka 60% vs Koubek 0%
Zahradka
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zahradka 50% vs Koubek 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zahradka +1 · Koubek -5
Koubek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Koubek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Koubek form (0%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZahradka 2.75 / Koubek 1.40
Signal prob.31% / 69%
Edge (Koubek)+2.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13092929
Zahradka2.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog40% won 82 of 205
Down 0–1, comes back19% 19 of 101
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 58
Koubek1.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite55% won 36 of 66
Up 2–0, closes it100% 18 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it81% 26 of 32
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeZahradka2wins
AwayKoubek4wins
2 of 6 to a deciderKoubek leads 4–2, and 2 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZahradkan = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayKoubek100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zahradka2Koubek4n = 6Koubek took 4 of 6
S2Zahradka3Koubek3n = 6split evenly
S3Zahradka1Koubek4n = 6Koubek took 4 of 6
S4Zahradka2Koubek2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away117%
These 6 meetings
MetricZahradkaKoubekZ − KBasisWins24−2in 6 meetingsFirst set24−2of 6Avg pointsper match35.238.7−3.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZahradkaKoubekBasisWin rate · lifetime442 / 905 vs 193 / 37748.8%51.2%442 / 905 vs 193 / 377Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.636.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KoubekZahradka 2.75/Koubek 1.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
68.7%
Koubek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Zahradka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WJan 22 · 18:00M. Zahradka—1113711113V. Koubek—41511492
WJan 22 · 15:30M. Zahradka—11119113V. Koubek—931191
LJan 16 · 19:30M. Zahradka—8980V. Koubek—111182
LSep 27 · 07:00M. Zahradka—5280V. Koubek—1111113
LMay 24 · 08:00M. Zahradka—5138101V. Koubek—111111123
LJan 13 · 16:30M. Zahradka—51111762V. Koubek—118811113
M. Zahradka10
WSep 8 · 14:00L. Jindrak1.571310671M. Zahradka2.25111211113LSep 7 · 21:30J. Kycelt1.831111123M. Zahradka1.8383100WSep 7 · 20:30J. Kycelt1.67119101282M. Zahradka2.107111210113WSep 7 · 19:30M. Zahradka1.57711611113P. Bradach2.2511311772LSep 7 · 18:30E. Mares1.2511119113M. Zahradka3.75841151LSep 7 · 16:59M. Zahradka1.83716111182T. Postelt1.83111878113LSep 7 · 16:00E. Mares1.251111113M. Zahradka3.753870WSep 7 · 15:00T. Postelt1.8035100M. Zahradka1.911111123LSep 7 · 14:30M. Zahradka1.91511991J. Kycelt1.8011611113WSep 5 · 21:28M. Zahradka1.731111113J. Kanera2.006450
V. Koubek10
LSep 8 · 16:00L. Jindrak1.9111117113V. Koubek1.80861141LSep 8 · 14:30V. Koubek1.61911129112T. Postelt2.201161011133LSep 7 · 21:00J. Vales1.7311912113V. Koubek2.007111071LSep 7 · 20:30V. Koubek2.637390J. Zajicek1.441111113LSep 7 · 19:00V. Koubek2.63981171J. Medek1.4411117113LSep 7 · 18:00J. Vales1.67611117123V. Koubek2.10116711102WSep 7 · 17:29V. Koubek3.001112113J. Zajicek1.3691080WSep 7 · 16:00J. Medek1.44711911122V. Koubek2.63114113143WSep 7 · 15:00J. Zajicek1.4411127882V. Koubek2.639101111113WSep 7 · 14:30V. Koubek2.2011125113J. Vales1.616101161
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