TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13087378
Played Sep 7Finished
Vojtech Koubek
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711311911––––
Jan Zajicek
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:49 and never touched — 62.7% is still 62.7%
Graded at full timeJan Zajicek to win
62.7%
62.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVojtech Koubek above · Jan Zajicek below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 52 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Jan Zajicek at 62.7%
52 points played in total.
H2H Vojtech Koubek 25–34 Jan Zajicek Vojtech Koubek has won 25 of their 59 meetings.
They have already met 2 times today · last one 3h before this match
Koubek beat Zajicek 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:49What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Zajicek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
25-34 in 59
Zajicek
Correct
gap of 9 in 59, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Koubek 1913 vs Zajicek 1877
Koubek
Wrong
both rated, 36 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Koubek 60% vs Zajicek 40%
Koubek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Koubek 70% vs Zajicek 50%
Koubek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Koubek -2 · Zajicek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Zajicek) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zajicek form (40%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKoubek 2.63 / Zajicek 1.44
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Koubek)+2.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13087378
Koubek2.63
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog36% won 28 of 78
Down 0–1, comes back14% 6 of 42
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 27
Zajicek1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite64% won 105 of 165
Up 2–0, closes it95% 58 of 61
Up 1–0, closes it85% 83 of 98
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKoubek2wins
AwayZajicek8wins
2 of 10 to a deciderZajicek leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKoubekn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayZajicek87.5%7 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Koubek2Zajicek8n = 10Zajicek took 8 of 10
S2Koubek2Zajicek8n = 10Zajicek took 8 of 10
S3Koubek3Zajicek7n = 10Zajicek took 7 of 10
S4Koubek1Zajicek2n = 3Zajicek took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away660%
These 10 meetings
MetricKoubekZajicekK − ZBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match28.536.8−8.3per matchSweeps16−53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKoubekZajicekBasisWin rate · lifetime193 / 375 vs 348 / 65651.5%53.1%193 / 375 vs 348 / 656Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.636.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZajicekKoubek 2.63/Zajicek 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.1%
Zajicek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Zajicek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 7 · 20:30V. Koubek—7390J. Zajicek—1111113
WSep 7 · 17:29V. Koubek—1112113J. Zajicek—91080
WSep 7 · 15:00V. Koubek—9101111113J. Zajicek—11127882
LAug 25 · 16:59V. Koubek—9790J. Zajicek—1111113
LAug 25 · 16:30V. Koubek—410140J. Zajicek—1112163
LAug 11 · 20:30V. Koubek—102100J. Zajicek—1211123
LJun 23 · 17:30V. Koubek—11660J. Zajicek—1311113
LJun 23 · 15:30V. Koubek—11611122J. Zajicek—911811113
LJun 2 · 14:30V. Koubek—411861J. Zajicek—11311113
LMay 31 · 21:09V. Koubek—61060J. Zajicek—1112113
V. Koubek10
LSep 7 · 21:00J. Vales1.7311912113V. Koubek2.007111071LSep 7 · 19:00V. Koubek2.63981171J. Medek1.4411117113LSep 7 · 18:00J. Vales1.67611117123V. Koubek2.10116711102WSep 7 · 17:29V. Koubek3.001112113J. Zajicek1.3691080WSep 7 · 16:00J. Medek1.44711911122V. Koubek2.63114113143WSep 7 · 15:00J. Zajicek1.4411127882V. Koubek2.639101111113WSep 7 · 14:30V. Koubek2.2011125113J. Vales1.616101161WSep 1 · 17:30V. Koubek1.6861111123E. Mares1.941188101LSep 1 · 16:00M. Parzhizek1.337111110113V. Koubek3.2511641292WSep 1 · 15:00E. Mares2.101051181V. Koubek1.6712119113
J. Zajicek10
WSep 7 · 19:30J. Zajicek1.401111113J. Vales2.756890LSep 7 · 18:30J. Medek1.7391111113J. Zajicek2.00116951LSep 7 · 17:29V. Koubek3.001112113J. Zajicek1.3691080WSep 7 · 16:30J. Zajicek1.4011119133J. Vales2.753911111LSep 7 · 15:00J. Zajicek1.4411127882V. Koubek2.639101111113WSep 7 · 14:00J. Medek1.83111171172J. Zajicek1.83139115113LSep 5 · 17:29J. Medek1.731111113J. Zajicek2.005690LSep 5 · 16:00L. Jindrak2.6391111113J. Zajicek1.44114941WSep 5 · 15:00J. Vales2.6310370J. Zajicek1.441211113WSep 5 · 14:30J. Zajicek1.8311116143J. Medek1.839811121
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