TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13087572
Played Sep 7Finished
Josef Medek
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
911116119115––
Jan Zajicek
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:25 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJosef Medek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJosef Medek above · Jan Zajicek below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 73 set 4, 11-5 — our read held Josef Medek at 54.0%
73 points played in total.
H2H Josef Medek 134–93 Jan Zajicek Jan Zajicek has won 93 of their 227 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 5h before this match
Zajicek beat Medek 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:25What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Medek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
134-93 in 227
Medek
Correct
gap of 41 in 227, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Medek 1988 vs Zajicek 1838
Medek
Correct
both rated, 150 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Medek 60% vs Zajicek 40%
Medek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Medek 70% vs Zajicek 50%
Medek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Medek +1 · Zajicek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Medek) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMedek 1.73 / Zajicek 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Medek)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13087572
Medek1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite60% won 121 of 201
Up 2–0, closes it94% 63 of 67
Up 1–0, closes it82% 88 of 108
Zajicek2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog39% won 46 of 118
Down 0–1, comes back22% 14 of 65
Down 0–2, comes back9% 4 of 44
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMedek8wins
AwayZajicek2wins
2 of 10 to a deciderMedek leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMedek100%5 of 5
AwayZajicek40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Medek5Zajicek5n = 10split evenly
S2Medek8Zajicek2n = 10Medek took 8 of 10
S3Medek8Zajicek2n = 10Medek took 8 of 10
S4Medek5Zajicek1n = 6Medek took 5 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMedekZajicekM − ZBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.131.7+7.4per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMedekZajicekBasisWin rate · lifetime304 / 526 vs 347 / 65657.8%52.9%304 / 526 vs 347 / 656Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.936.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MedekMedek 1.73/Zajicek 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.9%
Medek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Medek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 7 · 14:00J. Medek—111171172J. Zajicek—139115113
WSep 5 · 17:29J. Medek—1111113J. Zajicek—5690
LSep 5 · 14:30J. Medek—9811121J. Zajicek—11116143
WSep 5 · 12:30J. Medek—1111113J. Zajicek—9970
WSep 4 · 20:30J. Medek—61111113J. Zajicek—117671
WSep 2 · 18:00J. Medek—51112113J. Zajicek—1191091
WAug 26 · 21:00J. Medek—981211133J. Zajicek—1111104112
WAug 26 · 18:30J. Medek—1111113J. Zajicek—5850
WAug 25 · 18:30J. Medek—11118113J. Zajicek—431161
WAug 25 · 14:00J. Medek—1111113J. Zajicek—9850
J. Medek10
WSep 7 · 20:00J. Vales2.63641181J. Medek1.4411117113WSep 7 · 19:00V. Koubek2.63981171J. Medek1.4411117113WSep 7 · 16:59J. Medek1.4491111113J. Vales2.63116871LSep 7 · 16:00J. Medek1.44711911122V. Koubek2.63114113143WSep 7 · 15:30J. Vales2.7511139562J. Medek1.406111111113LSep 7 · 14:00J. Medek1.83111171172J. Zajicek1.83139115113WSep 5 · 17:29J. Medek1.731111113J. Zajicek2.005690WSep 5 · 16:30J. Vales2.507590J. Medek1.501111113WSep 5 · 15:30J. Medek1.331111113L. Jindrak3.257750LSep 5 · 14:30J. Zajicek1.8311116143J. Medek1.839811121
J. Zajicek10
WSep 7 · 19:30J. Zajicek1.401111113J. Vales2.756890LSep 7 · 17:29V. Koubek3.001112113J. Zajicek1.3691080WSep 7 · 16:30J. Zajicek1.4011119133J. Vales2.753911111LSep 7 · 15:00J. Zajicek1.4411127882V. Koubek2.639101111113WSep 7 · 14:00J. Medek1.83111171172J. Zajicek1.83139115113LSep 5 · 17:29J. Medek1.731111113J. Zajicek2.005690LSep 5 · 16:00L. Jindrak2.6391111113J. Zajicek1.44114941WSep 5 · 15:00J. Vales2.6310370J. Zajicek1.441211113WSep 5 · 14:30J. Zajicek1.8311116143J. Medek1.839811121WSep 5 · 13:00E. Mares1.731111771J. Zajicek2.0061311113
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