TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13094170
Played Sep 7Finished
Vojtech Koubek
Home
3.00
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1191210118––––
Jan Zajicek
Away
1.36
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingVojtech Koubek above · Jan Zajicek below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 61 set 3, 11-8
61 points played in total.
H2H Vojtech Koubek 24–33 Jan Zajicek Vojtech Koubek has won 24 of their 57 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Koubek beat Zajicek 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Zajicek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zajicek form (40%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKoubek 3.00 / Zajicek 1.36
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Zajicek)-2.4pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13094170
Koubek3.00
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog36% won 28 of 78
Down 0–1, comes back14% 6 of 42
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 27
Zajicek1.36
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite64% won 105 of 165
Up 2–0, closes it95% 58 of 61
Up 1–0, closes it85% 83 of 98
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKoubek2wins
AwayZajicek8wins
2 of 10 to a deciderZajicek leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKoubekn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayZajicek77.8%7 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Koubek1Zajicek9n = 10Zajicek took 9 of 10
S2Koubek2Zajicek8n = 10Zajicek took 8 of 10
S3Koubek3Zajicek7n = 10Zajicek took 7 of 10
S4Koubek2Zajicek2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away660%
These 10 meetings
MetricKoubekZajicekK − ZBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match29.037.4−8.4per matchSweeps06−63–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKoubekZajicekBasisWin rate · lifetime192 / 371 vs 347 / 65551.8%53%192 / 371 vs 347 / 655Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.636.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZajicekKoubek 3.00/Zajicek 1.36
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
66.4%
Zajicek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Koubek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 7 · 15:00V. Koubek—9101111113J. Zajicek—11127882
LAug 25 · 16:59V. Koubek—9790J. Zajicek—1111113
LAug 25 · 16:30V. Koubek—410140J. Zajicek—1112163
LAug 11 · 20:30V. Koubek—102100J. Zajicek—1211123
LJun 23 · 17:30V. Koubek—11660J. Zajicek—1311113
LJun 23 · 15:30V. Koubek—11611122J. Zajicek—911811113
LJun 2 · 14:30V. Koubek—411861J. Zajicek—11311113
LMay 31 · 21:09V. Koubek—61060J. Zajicek—1112113
LMay 31 · 19:00V. Koubek—7460J. Zajicek—1111113
WMay 24 · 14:30V. Koubek—81111113J. Zajicek—117781
V. Koubek10
LSep 7 · 18:00J. Vales1.67611117123V. Koubek2.10116711102WSep 7 · 16:00J. Medek1.44711911122V. Koubek2.63114113143WSep 7 · 15:00J. Zajicek1.4411127882V. Koubek2.639101111113WSep 7 · 14:30V. Koubek2.2011125113J. Vales1.616101161WSep 1 · 17:30V. Koubek1.6861111123E. Mares1.941188101LSep 1 · 16:00M. Parzhizek1.337111110113V. Koubek3.2511641292WSep 1 · 15:00E. Mares2.101051181V. Koubek1.6712119113WSep 1 · 14:28V. Koubek2.6311116113J. Medek1.44681141WAug 31 · 17:30E. Mares2.104117101V. Koubek1.6511911123WAug 31 · 16:00V. Koubek1.4011115113J. Kycelt2.75141171
J. Zajicek10
WSep 7 · 16:30J. Zajicek1.4011119133J. Vales2.753911111LSep 7 · 15:00J. Zajicek1.4411127882V. Koubek2.639101111113WSep 7 · 14:00J. Medek1.83111171172J. Zajicek1.83139115113LSep 5 · 17:29J. Medek1.731111113J. Zajicek2.005690LSep 5 · 16:00L. Jindrak2.6391111113J. Zajicek1.44114941WSep 5 · 15:00J. Vales2.6310370J. Zajicek1.441211113WSep 5 · 14:30J. Zajicek1.8311116143J. Medek1.839811121WSep 5 · 13:00E. Mares1.731111771J. Zajicek2.0061311113LSep 5 · 12:30J. Medek1.831111113J. Zajicek1.839970LSep 5 · 11:30J. Zajicek1.73911681E. Mares2.0011711113
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